Alabama Crimson Tide vs Connecticut NCAAB Betting Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Connecticut Prediction 4/6/2024

The Alabama Crimson Tide (24-11) travel to face off against the Connecticut Huskies (35-3) on Saturday, April 6th. This game will be played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale and televised on TBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:49 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Connecticut Huskies

The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

Alabama heads into this game as an underdog, as they have been in nine of their 35 games this season. They are 2-7 in those games, compared to their 23-4 record as the favorite. The Crimson Tide are 24-11 overall this season, including a 13-6 record in Southeastern Conference play.

On the road, Alabama has gone 8-8 this season, and they are coming off a win over Clemson. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4, and their average scoring margin on the road is -0.2 points per game.

Alabama has an overall ATS record of 21-15 this season and they are 7-9 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Crimson Tide are just 3-6 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog.

Alabama’s over/under record this season is 27-9, and today’s line of 160.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (164.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

The Connecticut Huskies Are Coming Off A Win

Connecticut enters tonight’s game against Alabama as the clear favorite, as they have been in 37 of their 38 games this season. They have gone 35-2 in those games, including a perfect 25-0 record at home.

Overall, the Huskies have gone 35-3 this season, including a win over Illinois in their last game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone a perfect 10-0.

As the favorite, Connecticut has been fantastic vs. the spread this season, going 25-11-1. Their ATS record at home is 17-8 and they have gone 9-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite. Over their last 3 home games, the Huskies have a perfect ATS mark.

Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Connecticut’s games this season (144.9). This year, 37 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 132 points.

Alabama Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Crimson Tide’s offense finished with 89 points, which is right in line with their current average of 90.8 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Mark Sears, who holds an average of 21.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aaron Estrada is averaging 13.4 points per game this season.

Mark Sears (G) 21.1 4.0 4.1
Aaron Estrada (G) 13.4 5.2 4.5
Grant Nelson (F) 12.0 5.7 1.7

Connecticut Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Huskies’ offense finished with 77 points, which is right in line with their current average of 81.5 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Tristen Newton, who is averaging 15.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Cam Spencer also maintains a PPG average of 14.5 heading into game.

Tristen Newton (G) 15.2 7.0 6.0
Cam Spencer (G) 14.5 4.5 3.6
Alex Karaban (F) 13.9 5.0 1.4

Alabama Team Defense

Currently, the Crimson Tide’s defense holds the 348th rank in the nation, allowing 81.1 points per game. In their most recent game, the Alabama defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Clemson knocked down 16 three-pointers on their way to 82 points.

Connecticut Team Defense

The Huskies’ defense is presently ranked 11th nationally, allowing an average of 63.3 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Connecticut’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.2% this season.

Crimson Tide vs Huskies Trends

  • Alabama has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 93 points per game while allowing 93. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across their last five home contests, Connecticut has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 80 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Crimson Tide have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Huskies have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Crimson Tide vs Huskies Prediction

Not only do we have the Huskies winning this one by a score of 79-66, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Huskies at -11.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 160.5, and our model projects the Crimson Tide and Huskies to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.