Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky NCAAB Betting Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Prediction 2/24/2024

The Alabama Crimson Tide (19-7) travel to face off against the Kentucky Wildcats (18-8) on Saturday, February 24th. This game will be played at Rupp Arena in Lexington and televised on CBS. Alabama is coming off a win in their previous game, while Kentucky is looking to get back on track from a loss to the LSU. Tip-off is set for 4:00 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats

The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

Alabama heads into this game as the underdog, and they have gone 1-5 in six games as the underdog this season. They have gone 10-2 in conference games, and they are coming off of a 100-75 win over Texas A&M.

On the road, Alabama has gone 6-6 this season, and their average scoring margin is +1.6 points per game. Over their last 10 games on the road, they have gone 5-5.

Against the spread, Alabama has an overall record of 16-9 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-7 and they are 2-4 vs. the spread as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Crimson Tide have gone 4-6.

Alabama’s over/under record this season is 18-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 167.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 175.5 points is higher than the average OU line in their games (160.2). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 188 points.

The Kentucky Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, Kentucky has gone 12-4, and over their last 10 games at home, they have a record of 7-3. They are favored by 1.5 points today, and on the season, they have been the favorite in 21 of their 26 games (15-6).

So far, Kentucky has an overall record of 18-8, and in Southeastern Conference play, they are 8-5. They come into this game having lost their last game to LSU by a score of 75-74.

As the favorite this season, Kentucky has gone 10-11 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats are just 3-7 ATS. At home, Kentucky has an ATS record of 9-7 this year and over their last three home games, their ATS record is 1-2.

On the season, the over/under record for Kentucky sits at 18-8. Today’s over/under line of 175.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (157.4). This season, 19 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 138 points compared to their season average of 164.9 points per game.

Alabama Offense Breakdown

The Alabama offense is coming off a game in which they scored 100 points vs. Texas A&M. Overall their field goal percentage was 52.1% while connecting on 18 threes. The top scorer for the Crimson Tide was Mark Sears with 23 points, while Rylan Griffen also chipped in with 17 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Mark Sears (G) 20.4 4.4 4.1
Aaron Estrada (G) 13.0 5.0 4.2
Grant Nelson (F) 12.3 5.6 1.7

Kentucky Offense Breakdown

The Kentucky offense is coming off a game where they scored 74 points against LSU. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.5% and connected on 8 threes. The top scorer for the Wildcats was Antonio Reeves with 25 points, while Rob Dillingham also chipped in with 23 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Antonio Reeves (G) 19.7 4.3 1.5
Rob Dillingham (G) 15.0 2.9 3.8
Reed Sheppard (G) 11.9 4.3 4.0

Alabama Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Alabama defense is giving up an average of 77.4 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Alabama’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.8% this season.

Kentucky Team Defense

So far, the Wildcats’ defense is ranked 293rd in the country at 77.3 points per contest. Kentucky’s three-point defense is currently 208th in the country at 8.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.7% of their shots vs. Kentucky.

Crimson Tide vs Wildcats Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Alabama has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 91 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Wildcats have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 80 points per game in these contests.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Crimson Tide have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Wildcats have a straight up record of 5-5 and an ATS mark of 3-7.

Crimson Tide vs Wildcats Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Wildcats to secure the win, with an expected final score of 76-69. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -1.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 175.5 and our model has the Crimson Tide and Wildcats finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.