The Alabama Crimson Tide (19-8) travel to face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (19-8) on Wednesday, February 28th. This game will be played at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford and televised on ESPN2. Both Alabama and Ole Miss will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 ET.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Ole Miss Rebels
The Alabama Crimson Tide Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Alabama has been a much better team at home this season, going 12-1 compared to 6-7 on the road. They have won eight straight games at home, and they are 17-2 when favored. On the season, the Crimson Tide are 19-8.
Over their last 10 road games, Alabama has gone 5-5. They are coming off a 117-95 loss to Kentucky, and they are 2-3 over their last five road games. For the season, they have been outscored by an average of 0.2 points per game on the road.
Alabama has an overall ATS record of 16-10 this season and they are 14-5 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Crimson Tide are 5-8 vs. the spread this year and their last 3 road ATS record is 1-2. However, over their last 10 games as the favorite, Alabama has an ATS mark of 8-2.
Alabama’s over/under record this season is 19-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 169.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 167.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (160.8) and 14 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 192 points.
The Ole Miss Rebels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
After losing their last two games, Ole Miss will look to get back on track as they host Alabama as 6.5-point underdogs. The Rebels have been much better at home this season, going 15-2 compared to 4-6 on the road. They have a scoring margin of +8.4 points per game at home compared to -6.2 on the road.
On the season, Ole Miss has gone 19-8, including a 6-8 mark in Southeastern Conference action. They have yet to lose a non-conference game, going 13-0. In their last game, the Rebels fell to South Carolina, 72-59.
As the underdog, Ole Miss has gone just 4-6 against the spread this season. However, their home ATS record is a solid 9-8. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Rebels have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Ole Miss games is 15-12. Today’s over/under line of 167.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (142.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 146 points.
Alabama Offense Breakdown
The Crimson Tide’s offense finished with 95 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 91.1 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is Mark Sears, who holds an average of 20.4 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aaron Estrada is averaging 13 points per game this season.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears (G) | 20.4 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Aaron Estrada (G) | 13.0 | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Grant Nelson (F) | 12.3 | 5.7 | 1.7 |
Ole Miss Offense Breakdown
Most recently, the Ole Miss offense finished with just 59 points vs. South Carolina. For the game, they hit 3/16 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 33.3%. The top scorer for the Rebels was Moussa Cisse with 13 points, while Jaemyn Brakefield also chipped in with 12 points.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Murrell (G) | 17.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| Allen Flanigan (G) | 15.2 | 6.4 | 2.9 |
| Jaylen Murray (G) | 13.6 | 2.4 | 4.1 |
Alabama Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Alabama defense is giving up an average of 78.9 points per contest. Alabama’s three-point defense is currently 162nd in the country at 7.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.0% of their shots vs. Alabama.
Ole Miss Team Defense
Currently, the Rebels’ defense holds the 181st rank in the nation, allowing 72.2 points per game. In today’s game, the Ole Miss defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 3 three-pointers while giving up 72 points.
Crimson Tide vs Rebels Trends
- Although Alabama has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 88 points per game in these games.
- Although Ole Miss has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 65 points per game in these games.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Rebels have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have an ATS record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 5-0.
Crimson Tide vs Rebels Prediction
Coming in as the underdogs at +6.5, we have the Rebels as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 167.5 and our model has the Crimson Tide and Rebels finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 28, 2024 Alabama Crimson Tide, Ole Miss Rebels