Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson NCAAB Betting Prediction

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Prediction 3/9/2024

The Arkansas Razorbacks (15-15) travel to face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (20-10) on Saturday, March 9th. This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa and televised on ESPN. Arkansas is coming off a win in their previous game, while Alabama is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Florida. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide

The Arkansas Razorbacks Are Coming Off A Win

Arkansas enters this game with a record of 15-15, including a 6-11 mark in Southeastern Conference play. On the road, the Razorbacks have struggled this season, going just 2-9 compared to their 13-6 record at home.

As the underdog, Arkansas is 4-12 this season, and they come into this game as 15.5-point underdogs. They are 2-3 in their last five road games and 2-8 in their last 10.

Arkansas has an overall ATS record of 12-18 this season, but they have been better vs. the spread on the road, going 4-7. As the underdog, the Razorbacks have an ATS mark of 7-9 this year and are 3-0 ATS in their last three games as the underdog. On the road, their ATS record is 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Arkansas’ over/under record this season is 22-8 and today’s line of 174.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (150.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 185 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 9-1.

The Alabama Crimson Tide Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Alabama will be looking to end their two-game losing streak when they take on Arkansas at home. So far this season, the Crimson Tide have gone 20-10, including an 11-5 record in Southeastern Conference play.

At home, Alabama has been dominant, going 12-2 this season with an average scoring margin of +22.9 points per game. In their last game, they fell to Florida by a score of 105-87.

Alabama has been a solid team against the spread this season, going 17-12. At home, their ATS mark is 11-3. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide are 8-2 vs. the spread.

Alabama’s over/under record for the season is 21-8 and today’s line of 174.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (162). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 179 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

Arkansas Offense Breakdown

The Arkansas offense is coming off a game where they scored 94 points against LSU. They posted a field goal percentage of 60.8% and connected on 5 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Tramon Mark, who holds an average of 16.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Khalif Battle is averaging 14 points per game this season.

Tramon Mark (G) 16.9 4.4 1.8
Khalif Battle (G) 14.0 2.9 1.2
Makhi Mitchell (F) 7.8 4.5 1.1

Alabama Offense Breakdown

Alabama’s offense had a good outing, putting up 87 points against Florida. They achieved a 44.3% field goal percentage and went 20/25 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring is Mark Sears, who is averaging 21.1 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aaron Estrada also maintains a PPG average of 13.4 heading into game.

Mark Sears (G) 21.1 4.1 4.0
Aaron Estrada (G) 13.4 5.4 4.4
Grant Nelson (F) 11.9 5.5 1.7

Arkansas Team Defense

The Razorbacks’ defense is presently ranked 324th nationally, allowing an average of 79.2 points per contest. Arkansas’ defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the LSU offense to knock down 60% of their shots on their way to putting up 83 points.

Alabama Team Defense

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Alabama is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 80.1 points per game (331st). In their previous game vs. Florida, the Gators finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 105 points vs. Alabama.

Razorbacks vs Crimson Tide Trends

  • In their last three road games, Arkansas has averaged 82 points per game while allowing 84. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 3-0.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Crimson Tide have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 89 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Razorbacks have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Alabama has an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 9-1 straight up.

Razorbacks vs Crimson Tide Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Crimson Tide vs. Crimson Tide game, our recommendation is to take the Crimson Tide at -15.5. Despite our model showing the Crimson Tide winning 75-70, we like Razorbacks as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 174.5, and our model predicts the Razorbacks and Crimson Tide to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.