Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion EPL Betting Prediction

Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction 5/5/2024

Aston Villa (20-8-7) travel to face off against Brighton & Hove Albion (11-12-11) on Sunday, May 5th. This match will be played at The American Express Community Stadium in Brighton & Hove. Both Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous matches. The match is scheduled for 9:00 AM ET.

Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion

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Aston Villa Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Aston Villa played to a draw vs. Chelsea despite playing at home and the match going for a combined four goals. The over/under line heading into the match was 3.5 goals, so the four total goals surpassed this figure.

Going into the match, Aston Villa was +102 on the money line and the offensive attack was held in check for the most part, scoring just one time on their four shots on goal. Overall, they took nine shots.

Morgan Rogers scored on his only shot attempt and also benefited from a Chelsea player scoring on their own goal. As a club, Aston Villa took just two corner kicks.

On the defensive end, Aston Villa’s goalie allowed two goals on Chelsea’s five shots on goal. Emiliano Martinez played the first half between the sticks and Robin Olsen played the second half.

As Aston Villa heads on the road to take on Brighton & Hove Albion, they currently sit in 4th place in the EPL, with a record of 20-8-7. Overall, they have been favored in 25 of their 35 matches, going 16-4-5 in those contests. Over their last four matches, they have gone 2-0-2, including a win over 1st place Arsenal. Following this match, they will return home to take on Liverpool FC on May 13th.

Brighton & Hove Albion Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Brighton & Hove Albion will be looking to put their last match behind them, as they lost to AFC Bournemouth by a score of 3-0. This match took place on Bournemouth’s home pitch, and the over/under line was set at 3.5 goals.

Going into the match, Brighton & Hove Albion was the heavy underdog, with money line odds of +250. The three combined goals fell short of the line, which was good for anyone who took the under or the over/under 3.5 goals.

As an offense, Brighton & Hove Albion took a total of 13 shots, with just one shot being on target. Joao Pedro led the attack with four total shots, but no offensive player for Brighton & Hove Albion recorded an assist.

On the defensive end, Brighton & Hove Albion intercepted six passes and blocked six shots. Bart Verbruggen finished with three saves on Bournemouth’s six shots on goal.

After a strong start to the season, Brighton & Hove Albion has fallen into a bit of a rut, going just 1-4-2 over their last seven matches. This has dropped them to 12th in the EPL, two points behind Wolverhampton Wanderers. Overall, they are 11-12-11, and they have struggled on the road, going just 4-9-5. This match vs. Aston Villa will be their last home match before heading to Newcastle United on May 11th.

Aston Villa Offense Breakdown

So far this season, Aston Villa has scored 2.0 goals per match, which is the 5th best mark in the EPL. They have taken 5.2 shots on goal per match, which is 9th in the league. In 8 straight matches, they have taken fewer shots on goal than their season average. Aston Villa has had more corner kicks than their opponents in 71.4% of their matches, which is 5th in the EPL. Their passing percentage is 85.7%, which is also 5th in the league. Ollie Watkins is the top scorer for Aston Villa and is 4th in the EPL with 19 goals. He also leads the team in shots on goal, with 46, which is 3rd in the league.

Brighton & Hove Albion Offense Breakdown

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João Pedro is the top scorer for Brighton & Hove Albion this season, as he has found the back of the net eight times, which is 32nd in the EPL. He is also 29th in the league in shots on goal. Pascal Groß is the leader in assists for Brighton & Hove Albion, as he has 10, which is third in the EPL. His four goals are 84th in the league. On the season, Brighton & Hove Albion is 13th in the EPL in goals per match, as they average 1.4. They have scored less than their season average in nine straight matches. They are fourth in the league in shots on goal and second in passing percentage.

Aston Villa Defense Breakdown

Heading into their match with Brighton & Hove Albion, Aston Villa’s defense is 5th in the EPL in goals allowed per match (1.5). However, they are coming off a match where they gave up two goals to Chelsea FC, who is 6th in scoring. Overall, they have given up 10 goals over their last five matches (2.0). Keeper Emiliano Martínez is 5th in the EPL with eight clean sheets, and his 90 saves are 12th most in the league.

Brighton & Hove Albion Defense Breakdown

Heading into their match against Aston Villa, Brighton & Hove Albion’s defense is coming off a tough stretch, allowing 3 goals to AFC Bournemouth and 4 goals to Manchester City FC. Overall, they are 12th in the EPL in goals allowed per match (1.7). Keeper Bart Verbruggen is 16th in the league with 3 clean sheets and 18th in saves (53). Overall, they are 6th in blocked shots and 12th in interceptions.

Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction

Coming into this EPL matchup between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, we have the match projected to end in a 2-2 draw, with the payout at +283. The projections give Ollie Watkins of Aston Villa the best chance to score a goal, while João Pedro is the top projected goal scorer for Brighton & Hove Albion. This season, Brighton has been the better offensive club, ranking 4th in shots on goal, and they are also 2nd in passing percentage.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.