Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers Prediction 3/5/2024

The Auburn Tigers (22-7) travel to face off against the Missouri Tigers (8-21) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Mizzou Arena in Columbia and televised on SECN. Auburn is coming off a win in their previous game, while Missouri is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ole Miss. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Auburn Tigers vs Missouri Tigers

The Auburn Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Through 29 games, Auburn has a record of 22-7, including an 11-5 mark in Southeastern Conference play. The Tigers have been favored in 27 of their 29 games this season, going 22-5 in those contests. On the road, Auburn has gone 8-6, compared to a 14-1 record at home.

In their last game, the Tigers defeated Mississippi State by a score of 78-63. Over their last 10 games away from home, Auburn has gone 6-4, while they are 2-3 in their last five road games.

As the favorite this season, Auburn has an ATS record of 18-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are 7-3 vs. the spread. On the road, Auburn has a mark of 8-6 ATS this year and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games vs. the spread away from home.

This season, the over/under record for Auburn games is 12-17, and today’s over/under line of 149 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150.7). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 163 points.

The Missouri Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Missouri will be looking to snap their 16-game losing streak when they take on Auburn as 12.5-point underdogs. The Tigers have struggled mightily this season, going 8-21 overall and 0-16 in Southeastern Conference play.

At home, Missouri has gone 6-12, and they have lost eight straight games in front of their home fans. In their most recent game, the Tigers fell to Ole Miss by a score of 84-78.

As the underdog this season, Missouri has gone 6-9 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record is 9-20. At home, the Tigers are just 3-15 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.

This season, the over/under record for Missouri games is 15-14. So far, the average point total in their games is 147.8, which is slightly lower than the average over/under line of 148.1. Currently, their over/under record in the last three games is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 160 points. Over their last five games, the average point total is 154 points.

Auburn Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Tigers’ offense concluded with 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 82.6 points per contest. Offensively, the Tigers have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 89th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 183rd in percentage and 127th in three-pointers made.

Johni Broome (F) 16.3 8.6 2.0
Jaylin Williams (F) 12.8 4.6 2.0
Chad Baker (G) 10.2 3.7 2.3

Missouri Offense Breakdown

Missouri finished with 78 points in their game against Ole Miss. This total surpasses their season-average of 72.3 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Sean East who comes into today’s matchup averaging 17.5. Tamar Bates also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.6.

Sean East (G) 17.5 3.3 4.1
Tamar Bates (G) 13.6 2.8 1.3
Nick Honor (G) 11.1 1.2 1.7

Auburn Team Defense

Currently, the Tigers’ defense holds the 74th rank in the nation, allowing 68.0 points per game. Auburn’s three-point defense is currently 62nd in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.8% of their shots vs. Auburn.

Missouri Team Defense

Looking at the Missouri defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 75.5 points per game (254th). Missouri’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Ole Miss offense to knock down 54% of their shots on their way to putting up 84 points.

Tigers vs Tigers Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Auburn has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 82 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Missouri has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 74 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Tigers have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Missouri posted a straight up mark of 0-10 in these matchups.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Tigers have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Tigers vs Tigers Prediction

The Tigers come in as the underdog at +12.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 149 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.