Auburn Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAB Betting prediction

Auburn Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction 1/17/2024

The Auburn Tigers (14-2) travel to face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores (5-11) on Wednesday, January 17th. This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville and televised on SECN. Auburn is coming off a win in their previous game, while Vanderbilt is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ole Miss. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Auburn Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores

The Auburn Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into tonight’s game, Auburn has won nine straight games, and they are 14-2 overall. They have a perfect 9-0 record at home, and they are 5-2 on the road. In their last game, they beat LSU 93-78.

So far, Auburn has been favored in all 16 of their games, and they are 14-2 in those games. On the road, they have a scoring margin of +16.4, and their record in their last 10 road games is 6-4. For the season, they are 3-0 in conference games.

As the favorite, Auburn has an ATS record of 10-6 this season. On the road, the Tigers are 5-2 vs. the spread and they are 3-0 in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Auburn has an ATS mark of 7-3.

So far this season, the over/under record for Auburn games is 7-9 and today’s over/under line of 147.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150.1). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points.

The Vanderbilt Commodores Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Despite being 5-11 on the season, Vanderbilt has been the underdog in all eight games they have played as the underdog, going 0-8. The Commodores are coming off a 69-56 loss to Ole Miss and have lost three games in a row. At home this season, Vanderbilt is 5-7, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 4-6.

On the road this season, Vanderbilt is 0-4, and they have lost their last four games away from home by an average of 9.5 points per game. For the season, the Commodores have an average scoring margin of -1.6 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Vanderbilt has gone 4-4 against the spread. At home, their ATS record is currently 5-7 and they are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games. Overall, the Commodores have an ATS mark of 7-9.

So far this season, the over/under record for Vanderbilt games is 5-11. The average point total in their games is 139.8, which is lower than the average over/under line of 142.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points.

Auburn Offense Breakdown

The Auburn offense is coming off a game where they scored 93 points against LSU. They posted a field goal percentage of 45.9% and connected on 10 threes. Offensively, the Tigers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 111st in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 220th in terms of percentage and 136th in three-pointers made.

Johni Broome (F) 15.4 8.4 1.7
Jaylin Williams (F) 11.9 5.1 2.1
Aden Holloway (G) 10.1 1.5 3.4

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 68.1 points per game, the Vanderbilt had a below average performance. They scored 56 points against Ole Miss and had a field goal percentage of 37.7%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Ezra Manjon who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.3. Tyrin Lawrence also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.6.

Ezra Manjon (G) 16.3 3.0 3.4
Tyrin Lawrence (G) 13.6 5.2 1.9
Jason Rivera-Torres (G) 8.4 3.4 0.5

Auburn Team Defense

At this time, the Tigers’ defense is positioned 54th in the country, permitting 65.7 points per game. Against LSU in their most recent game, the Auburn defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing LSU to hit 45% of their shots.

Vanderbilt Team Defense

At present, the Commodores’ defense is nationally ranked 155th, allowing 71.7 points per game. In their most recent game, the Vanderbilt defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Ole Miss knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 69 points.

Tigers vs Commodores Trends

  • The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Commodores have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 73 points per game in this stretch.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Commodores have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Tigers have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Tigers vs Commodores Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +12.5, we recommend going with the Commodores on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 147.5, and our model predicts the Tigers and Commodores to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.