auburn vs arkansas ncaab betting prediction

Auburn vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction 1/6/2024

The Auburn Tigers (11-2) travel to face off against the Arkansas Razorbacks (9-4) on Saturday, January 6th. This game will be played at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Auburn Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks

The Auburn Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into today’s matchup, the Auburn Tigers are favored by 3.5 points on the road. So far this season, Auburn has gone 11-2 and are currently on a six-game winning streak.

In their last game, the Tigers faced off against Penn and came away with an 88-68 victory. Over their last ten road games, Auburn has gone just 5-5.

As the favorite, Auburn has an ATS record of 7-6 this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road, Auburn is 4-2 ATS this year and they are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 road games. Overall, the Tigers have an ATS mark of 7-6.

On the season, Auburn’s over/under record is 6-7 and the average scoring total in their games is 151.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (149.6). So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 155 points.

The Arkansas Razorbacks Are Coming Off A Win

Arkansas will take on Auburn as 3.5-point underdogs. So far this season, the Razorbacks are 9-4 and have won three straight games. At home, Arkansas is 9-1 and have an average scoring margin of +10.6 points per game.

In their last game, the Razorbacks faced UNCW and won by a score of 106-90. Over their last 10 games at home, Arkansas is 9-1.

Arkansas has not been a good bet this season, going just 4-9 against the spread. However, they have been slightly better at home with a 4-6 ATS mark. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Razorbacks have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Arkansas’ over/under record for the season is 11-2 and the average scoring total in their games is 158.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (149.1). So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 162 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

Auburn Offense Breakdown

The Auburn offense is coming off a game in which they scored 88 points vs. Penn. Overall their field goal percentage was 49.2% while connecting on 12 threes. Johni Broome is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 15.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jaylin Williams brings a PPG average of 11.5 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Johni Broome (F) 15.8 8.7 1.6
Jaylin Williams (F) 11.5 4.9 2.0
Aden Holloway (G) 10.5 1.3 3.9

Arkansas Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Arkansas’ offense looked good, scoring 106 points against UNCW. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 52.4% and made 33/43 free throws. One area that the Arkansas offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 2nd in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 48%.

Name PPG REB AST
Tramon Mark (G) 17.2 3.3 1.4
Khalif Battle (G) 14.3 2.8 1.2
Trevon Brazile (F) 9.8 6.8 0.7

Auburn Team Defense

At this time, the Tigers’ defense is positioned 75th in the country, permitting 66.7 points per game. Auburn’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Penn offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 68 points.

Arkansas Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Arkansas defense is giving up an average of 76.4 points per contest. Arkansas’ three-point defense is currently 140th in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. Arkansas.

Tigers vs Razorbacks Trends

  • The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Arkansas has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 69 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Razorbacks have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Tigers have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.

Tigers vs Razorbacks Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +3.5, the Razorbacks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 156.5, and our model projects the Tigers and Razorbacks to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.