Baylor vs Duke ncaab betting prediction

Baylor Bears vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction 12/20/2023

The Baylor Bears (9-1) travel to face off against the Duke Blue Devils (7-3) on Wednesday, December 20th. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York and televised on ESPN. Both Baylor and Duke will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Baylor Bears vs Duke Blue Devils

The Baylor Bears Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

This is the 11th game of the season for Baylor, who currently have a 9-1 record. In their last five road games, including those from last year, Baylor has a 2-3 record. As of today, Baylor holds a 5-3 ATS record. In their previous five games, they are 4-1 vs. the spread.

After 10 games, Baylor has an over/under record of 6-2-0, with their games averaging a combined 159.5 points per game so far. When assessing the Bears’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 1-2, with their games averaging 139 points per game.

The Duke Blue Devils Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Duke enters today’s game against Baylor with a 7-3 overall record. On the road, the Blue Devils are 1-2 and at home, they are 4-1. Duke enters today’s game with a 3-5 ATS record. In their previous five games, the team has gone 2-3 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 10 games, Duke has an over/under record of 4-4-0, with their games averaging 148 points per game on average. When looking at the Blue Devils’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-1-1, with their games averaging 144 points per game.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Baylor offense ended with 64 points against Michigan State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.9% and made 6 threes. The team’s top scorer is Ja’Kobe Walter, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 14.3, while RayJ Dennis also carries a PPG average of 13.9 into the game.

Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 14.3 3.9 1.2
RayJ Dennis (G) 13.9 3.7 6.6
Langston Love (G) 10.8 1.8 1.1

Duke Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Duke offense tallied 68 points in a matchup against Georgia Tech. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.9%, and they made 4 threes. Jeremy Roach was the leading scorer for the Blue Devils, putting up 20 points. In addition, Kyle Filipowski contributed 12 points.

Kyle Filipowski (C) 18.4 9.2 3.0
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.8 2.5 3.1
Mark Mitchell (F) 11.4 4.9 1.2

Baylor Team Defense

Baylor’s defense has been playing well, ranking 90th nationally, with 67.6 points allowed per game. Baylor’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Michigan State offense to knock down 63% of their shots on their way to putting up 88 points.

Duke Team Defense

In the current season, the Duke defense has excelled, sitting 65th in the nation by allowing 66.1 points per game. So far, the Duke defense is giving up an average of 6.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.4 times per game (303rd).

Bears vs Blue Devils Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Baylor has an ATS mark of 4-5-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 73 points per game.
  • In their last three games at home, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 72 points per game in this stretch.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bears have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Blue Devils have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Bears vs Blue Devils Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Blue Devils to win, and have the projected score sitting at 76-66. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Blue Devils at -1.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 155, and our model predicts the Bears and Blue Devils to score a combined 142 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.