Baylor Bears vs Kansas State Wildcats NCAAB Betting prediction

Baylor Bears vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction 1/16/2024

The Baylor Bears (14-2) travel to face off against the Kansas State Wildcats (12-4) on Tuesday, January 16th. This game will be played at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan and televised on ESPN+. Baylor is coming off a win in their previous game, while Kansas State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas Tech. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Baylor Bears vs Kansas State Wildcats

The Baylor Bears Are Coming Off A Win

With a win over Cincinnati in their last game, the Baylor Bears improved their overall record to 14-2. They have won five straight games and are 3-0 in Big 12 play. On the road, Baylor is 2-2 this season, and their average scoring margin is -2.8 points per game.

For the year, the Bears have been favored in 13 of their 16 games, going 12-1 in those contests. Over their last 10 road games, Baylor is 5-5, and their record away from home is 1-2 in their last three.

As the favorite this season, Baylor has gone 9-4 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears are 8-2 vs. the spread. On the road this year, Baylor has an ATS record of 1-3 and their ATS mark over their last 10 road games is 3-6-1.

On the season, Baylor’s over/under record sits at 8-7, and today’s line of 142.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (150.2). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. However, over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 139 points, and during their last 10 games, their OU record is 4-6.

The Kansas State Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing a heartbreaker to Texas Tech in their last game, the Kansas State Wildcats will look to bounce back and improve their home record of 8-2. So far this season, the Wildcats have gone 12-4 overall and 2-1 in Big 12 play.

As the underdog, Kansas State has gone 3-3 this season. For the year, they have been the underdog six times compared to 10 times as the favorite. At home, the Wildcats have gone 8-2, and they have won their last two games at home.

As the underdog this season, Kansas State has a record of 4-2 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is just 4-6 this year and they are 2-3 in their last 5 home games vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Kansas State games is 7-9, and today’s line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (147). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 131 points.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

Most recently, the Baylor offense finished with just 62 points vs. Cincinnati. For the game, they hit 5/20 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 45.8%. One area that the Baylor offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 74th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 50%.

Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 15.2 4.4 1.4
RayJ Dennis (G) 13.8 3.7 6.2
Langston Love (G) 11.4 1.9 1.1

Kansas State Offense Breakdown

Most recently, the Kansas State offense finished with just 59 points vs. Texas Tech. For the game, they hit 10/23 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 44%. Cam Carter is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.6. Meanwhile, Tylor Perry also brings a PPG average of 15.1 into the game.

Cam Carter (G) 16.6 5.1 3.1
Tylor Perry (G) 15.1 3.0 5.2
Arthur Kaluma (F) 14.9 7.9 1.9

Baylor Team Defense

At present, the Bears’ defense is nationally ranked 101st, allowing 68.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.3 threes per game vs. Kansas State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 28.8%.

Kansas State Team Defense

At present, the Wildcats’ defense is nationally ranked 84th, allowing 67.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Kansas State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.5% this season.

Bears vs Wildcats Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Baylor has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 74 points per game.
  • Kansas State has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 69 points per game while allowing 62. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wildcats have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.
  • As the betting favorite, the Bears have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.

Bears vs Wildcats Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +2.5, we have the Wildcats as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 142.5, and our model projects the Bears and Wildcats to reach a combined total of 143 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.