Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights NCAAB Betting Prediction

Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights Prediction 1/31/2024

The Baylor Bears (14-5) travel to face off against the UCF Knights (12-7) on Wednesday, January 31st. This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando and televised on ESPN+. Both Baylor and UCF will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Baylor Bears vs UCF Knights

The Baylor Bears Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing their last two games, Baylor is looking to get back on track against UCF. So far this season, the Bears have gone 14-5, including a 3-2 mark in Big 12 play. On the road, they are just 2-4, compared to a perfect 11-0 record at home.

As for their recent performance on the road, Baylor has gone just 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home. This season, they have been favored in 13 of their 19 games, going 12-1 in those contests.

As the favorite this season, Baylor has gone 9-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears have an ATS mark of 7-3. On the road this year, Baylor is 2-4 vs. the spread and over their last 10 road games, their ATS record is 4-6. In their last three road games, the Bears are 2-1 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record in Baylor games is 9-8 and their games have an average scoring total of 152.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (149.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 161 points.

The UCF Knights Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

UCF will be looking to bounce back after a 68-57 loss to Cincinnati. The Knights are 12-7 overall and 10-3 at home.

So far, UCF has been the underdog in seven games, going 2-5 in those matchups. For the season, they have a record of 3-4 in Big 12 games.

As the underdog this season, UCF has gone 3-3-1 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 10-8-1. At home, the Knights have an ATS record of 8-4-1. In their last three games as the underdog, UCF is 2-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for UCF games is 9-10, and today’s over/under line of 139.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (139.1). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 118 points, and over their last 10 games, their over/under record is 2-8.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

The Baylor offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against Texas. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.9% and connected on 11 threes. Ja’Kobe Walter led the team in scoring, putting up 22 points. Additionally, Jalen Bridges contributed 17 points for the Bears.

Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 15.2 4.7 1.6
RayJ Dennis (G) 13.3 3.8 6.6
Langston Love (G) 11.5 2.5 1.2

UCF Offense Breakdown

Against Cincinnati, the UCF had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 71.9 points per game. They scored 57 points and posted a field goal percentage of 36.2% in the game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Jaylin Sellers who comes into today’s matchup averaging 17.2. Darius Johnson also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.6.

Jaylin Sellers (G) 17.2 4.3 1.1
Darius Johnson (G) 12.6 2.8 3.4
Marchelus Avery (F) 9.0 4.3 0.8

Baylor Team Defense

Baylor’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.1 points per game. Against Texas in their most recent game, the Baylor defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Texas to hit 51% of their shots.

UCF Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the UCF defense is giving up an average of 64.5 points per contest. So far, the UCF defense is giving up an average of 7.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.2 times per game (602nd).

Bears vs Knights Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Bears have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 71 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Knights last five home games, the team averaged 62 points per game while allowing 70. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Knights have gone 3-1-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Bears have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Bears vs Knights Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +3.5, we recommend going with the Knights on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 139.5, and our model predicts the Bears and Knights to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.