Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos NCAAB Betting Prediction

Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Prediction 1/31/2024

The Boise State Broncos (14-6) travel to face off against the New Mexico Lobos (18-3) on Wednesday, January 31st. This game will be played at The Pit in Albuquerque and televised on FS1. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:30 ET.

Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos

The Boise State Broncos Are Coming Off A Win

Boise State will be the underdog for the eighth time in 21 games this season, as they are getting 9.5 points against New Mexico. The Broncos are 4-3 on the road this year compared to 9-2 at home, and their average scoring margin on the road is -0.7.

Boise State is 14-6 overall this season and has won two games in a row. In their last game, the Broncos beat Fresno State 72-68. Over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6, and in their last three road games, they are 3-0.

Boise State has gone 9-9 against the spread this season and is 3-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last three road games, the Broncos are 2-1 vs. the spread and 4-1 vs. the spread in their last five games as the underdog.

Boise State’s over/under record is 9-9 this season and their games have averaged 138.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (138) and there have been 14 games with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 148 points.

The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win

As the New Mexico Lobos get set to take on the Boise State Broncos, they are riding a four-game winning streak and have an impressive 18-3 record on the season. At home, they have been especially dominant, going 10-0 and winning each of their last 10 games.

So far this year, the Lobos have been favored in 17 of their 21 games, and they have gone 16-1 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +21.6 points per game, and they are coming off a 34-point victory over Nevada.

As the favorite, New Mexico has been excellent vs. the spread this season, going 14-3. At home, their ATS mark is 9-1 and they are 8-0 in their last 10 home games. Overall, the Lobos have a 14-5 ATS record this year.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line in New Mexico’s games this year (153.2). So far, their over/under record is 9-10. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points, which is higher than today’s over/under line. In their last 10 games, their over/under record is 4-4.

Boise State Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Broncos’ offense concluded with 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Broncos have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 207th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 194th in terms of percentage and 197th in three-pointers made.

Tyson Degenhart (F) 15.6 5.3 1.5
Chibuzo Agbo (G) 14.8 5.2 0.8
O’Mar Stanley (F) 13.2 6.5 1.6

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

The New Mexico offense is coming off a game where they scored 89 points against Nevada. They posted a field goal percentage of 58.6% and connected on 11 threes. Jaelen House led the team in scoring, putting up 21 points. Additionally, Jamal Mashburn JR contributed 14 points for the Lobos.

Donovan Dent (G) 14.8 2.6 6.0
JT Toppin (F) 13.0 8.1 0.6
Jaelen House (G) 15.6 2.9 3.9

Boise State Team Defense

The Broncos’ defense is presently ranked 55th nationally, allowing an average of 66.4 points per contest. The Boise State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed Fresno State to connect on 6 threes.

New Mexico Team Defense

The Lobos’ defense is presently ranked 101st nationally, allowing an average of 68.8 points per contest. So far, the New Mexico defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.1 times per game (413rd).

Broncos vs Lobos Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Broncos have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 3-7 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 68 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Lobos offense has averaged 78 points per game while allowing an average of 74. New Mexico posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • Boise State has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Lobos have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.

Broncos vs Lobos Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Lobos vs. Lobos game, we suggest taking the Lobos at -9.5. Even though our predictions have the Lobos winning 75-70, we see the Broncos as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 152.5, and our model predicts the Broncos and Lobos to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.