Independence Bowl Game Prediction

Cal vs. Texas Tech Independence Bowl Prediction 12/16

The California Golden Bears (6-6) face off against the Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-6) on Saturday, December 16th. This game will be played at Independence Stadium in Shreveport and televised on ESPN. California is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas Tech is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas. Kickoff is set for 9:15 ET.

California Golden Bears vs Texas Tech Red Raiders

The California Golden Bears Are Coming Off A Win

California are hoping that that their defense wil come up with another big performance, as they are coming off a 33-7 win over UCLA. Quarterback Fernando Mendoza threw for two touchdowns in California’s win over UCLA. Overall, he had a passer rating of 74.03 while completing 63.3% of his passes for 178 yards.

Going into the game, the over/under line was 51 points, which the teams did not surpass. Against the spread, California picked up a win as 9.5-point underdogs.

With a 6-6 record, the California Golden Bears take on Texas Tech. Their road record so far is (3-3) and at home (2-3).

California has gone into four games as the favorite this season and seven games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 6-5. So far this season, California boasts an over/under record of 7-4. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 64.2 points, while the average over/under line has been 54.2 points.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Texas Tech will be looking to rebound from a 57-7 loss to Texas. Heading into the fourth quarter, Texas Tech trailed by a score of 47-7. Quarterback Behren Morton threw the ball 36 times vs. Texas and finished with 88 passing yards on a completion percentage of 52.8%. He did also end up throwing three interceptions in the loss.

Texas Tech and Texas combined for 64 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 52 points. In addition to losing straight-up, Texas Tech did not cover the spread as 15.5-point underdogs.

So far, the Texas Tech Red Raiders are 6-6, including going 2-3 on the road and 3-2 at home.

Texas Tech’s average scoring differential for the season is -0.2 leading to an ATS mark of 4-6. The Red Raiders have been favored seven times and the underdog in three games In 12 games played, the average over/under line for Texas Tech’s games has been set at 56.8 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 53.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 4-6.

California Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, California has averaged 31.6 points per game this season. This figure has them 39th in the NCAA. Their passing game, averaging 214.6 passing yards, is ranked 80th nationally. In terms of rushing, they’re 43rd in rushing yards with an average of 462 rushing attempts per contest this season.

This season, Fernando Mendoza has been responsible for 1447 passing yards, maintaining an average of 11 per completion. He has a completion rate of 62.4%, having thrown 13 touchdowns.

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

On offense, Texas Tech comes into the game averaging 26.8, which is 58th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 221.1 passing yards (74th) compared to 61st in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 429 rushing attempts per contest.

So far this season, Behren Morton has thrown for 1498 yards, averaging 9.7 per completion. His completion percentage is 61.8%, and he’s registered 12 touchdowns.

California Team Defense

Looking at this week’s game, the California defense stands at 138th in points allowed, permitting 32.7 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 283.3 passing yards per game against them (173rd). On the ground, they’re conceding 133.8 rushing yards, ranking them 54th in college football.

Texas Tech Team Defense

Defensively, the Red Raiders enter the game with 21 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 27 points per game thus far this season (105th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 94th in the NCAA, giving up 226.6 passing yards per game. Against the run, Texas Tech has allowed 167.5 rushing yards per contest thus far.

California vs Texas Tech Trends

  • When playing on the road, California has an ATS mark of 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Texas Tech’s ATS record at home (last three) is 1-2.
  • Looking back at the last ten times Texas Tech went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 6-4.
  • California are 3-2 in their last five games as favorites.

California vs Texas Tech Prediction

I’m going with California on the spread, with the line sitting at +3. I anticipate the California rushing offense capitalizing on the vulnerabilities in Texas Tech’s defense, as they struggled against UCLA. Lock in California at +3.

Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 58.5 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 59 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.