Clemson Tigers vs Duke Blue Devils NCAAB Betting Prediction

Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils Prediction 1/27/2024

The Clemson Tigers (13-5) travel to face off against the Duke Blue Devils (14-4) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 4:00 ET.

Clemson Tigers vs Duke Blue Devils

The Clemson Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

With a 13-5 record, Clemson has been solid this season, but they have struggled in ACC play with a 3-4 record compared to their 10-1 non-conference mark. On the road, the Tigers are 4-3, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

Coming off a 78-67 win over Florida State, Clemson will look to pull off the upset as a 7.5-point underdog. This season, the Tigers have been the underdog in four games, going 3-1, and they are 3-1 in their last four games as the underdog.

Against the spread, Clemson has gone 9-8-1 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 5-2. As the underdog, the Tigers are a perfect 4-0 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Clemson is 6-4.

So far this season, the over/under record for Clemson games is 12-6. Currently, the average scoring total in their games is 153.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is very close to that average. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 164 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 7-3.

The Duke Blue Devils Are Coming Off A Win

After defeating Louisville 83-69, Duke improved to 14-4 overall and 4-2 in ACC play. The Blue Devils are 10-2 at home this season, and they have won nine of their last 10 games at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Overall, Duke has been favored in 17 of its 18 games, going 13-4 in those contests. The Blue Devils have a scoring margin of +18.4 points per game at home this season.

As the favorite this season, Duke has gone just 8-9 against the spread. In their last three games as the favorite, the Blue Devils have failed to cover the spread. At home, Duke is 7-5 vs. the spread this year and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-5.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Duke’s games this season (146.3). So far, the over/under record in their games is 10-6-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and their OU record in that span is 3-0. On the year, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

Clemson Offense Breakdown

The Tigers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 78 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 80.7 points per contest. PJ Hall is leading the team in scoring at 19.7 points per contest. Joseph Girard III has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.9 going into the game.

PJ Hall (C) 19.7 7.0 1.7
Joseph Girard III (G) 14.9 3.7 3.4
Chase Hunter (G) 11.8 2.5 2.8

Duke Offense Breakdown

The Blue Devils’ offense wrapped up their last game with 83 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 81.7 points per contest. Offensively, the Blue Devils hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 56th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 57th in terms of percentage and 110th in three-pointers made.

Kyle Filipowski (C) 18.2 9.0 3.1
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.4 2.5 3.1
Jared McCain (G) 12.1 3.8 1.5

Clemson Team Defense

Clemson’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 73.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Clemson’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.1% this season.

Duke Team Defense

At present, the Blue Devils’ defense is nationally ranked 66th, allowing 67.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. Clemson, the Duke defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Duke made 16 free-throws vs. the Blue Devils.

Tigers vs Blue Devils Trends

  • Clemson has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 76 points per game while allowing 78. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Through their last ten home games, Duke has an ATS record of just 4-5. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 70 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Clemson has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 4-1, while going 1-4 against the spread.

Tigers vs Blue Devils Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Blue Devils vs. Blue Devils matchup, we’re leaning towards the Blue Devils at -7.5. Although our projections show the Blue Devils winning 74-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Tigers for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 153.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.