Colorado State Rams vs New Mexico Lobos NCAAB Betting Prediction

Colorado State Rams vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction 2/21/2024

The Colorado State Rams (20-6) travel to face off against the New Mexico Lobos (20-6) on Wednesday, February 21st. This game will be played at The Pit in Albuquerque and televised on CBSS. Colorado State is coming off a win in their previous game, while New Mexico is looking to get back on track from a loss to the San Diego State. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Colorado State Rams vs New Mexico Lobos

The Colorado State Rams Are Coming Off A Win

Colorado State has been a much better team at home this season compared to on the road. They are 14-1 at home, compared to just 5-5 on the road. The Rams have also been favored in 20 of their 26 games, going 17-3 in those games.

As for their opponent, New Mexico, they come into this game with a record of 11-12. Colorado State is coming off a 75-55 win over Utah State, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games.

Colorado State’s ATS record this season is 15-10, and they are 2-3 vs. the spread as the underdog this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Rams have gone 5-5 ATS. On the road, Colorado State is 5-5 vs. the spread this season and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Colorado State’s over/under record this season is 10-14-1 and the average over/under line in their games is 147.3. So far, 20 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line of 155.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 122 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

The New Mexico Lobos Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing their last game to San Diego State by a score of 81-70, the Lobos are 20-6 overall and 7-5 in Mountain West Conference play. They are 10-2 at home this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +17.1 points per game.

So far, New Mexico has been the favorite in 20 of their 26 games. As the favorite, they are 17-3. The Lobos’ record against the spread at home is 8-2 over their last ten games.

As the favorite this season, New Mexico has gone 15-5 against the spread. Their overall ATS record is 16-8. At home, the Lobos are 9-3 vs. the spread and 6-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for New Mexico is 14-10. The average scoring total in their games is 153.8 while the average over/under line is 153.2. Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 157.

Colorado State Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Rams’ offense finished with 75 points, which is right in line with their current average of 77.9 points per contest. Isaiah Stevens led the scoring for the Rams, contributing 18 points. Additionally, Joel Scott chipped in with 17 points.

Isaiah Stevens (G) 16.2 3.0 7.4
Dominique Clifford (G) 13.0 7.1 2.5
Joel Scott (F) 11.8 5.8 1.5

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

The New Mexico offense is coming off a game where they scored 70 points against San Diego State. They posted a field goal percentage of 35.5% and connected on 5 threes. Donovan Dent is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.4. Meanwhile, Jaelen House also brings a PPG average of 15.9 into the game.

Donovan Dent (G) 15.4 2.5 5.6
Jaelen House (G) 15.9 3.1 3.7
JT Toppin (F) 12.7 8.8 0.6

Colorado State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Colorado State defense is giving up an average of 67.8 points per contest. In today’s game vs. New Mexico, the Colorado State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Colorado State made 15 free-throws vs. the Rams.

New Mexico Team Defense

Currently, the Lobos’ defense holds the 146th rank in the nation, allowing 71.0 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.2 threes per game vs. Colorado State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.1%.

Rams vs Lobos Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Rams have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 68 points per game in this stretch.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, New Mexico has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 81 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Colorado State has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Lobos have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.

Rams vs Lobos Prediction

The Lobos is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-69. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Lobos at -5.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 155.5, and our model projects the Rams and Lobos to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.