Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles NCAA Betting Prediction

Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Prediction 2/17/2024

The Duke Blue Devils (19-5) travel to face off against the Florida State Seminoles (13-11) on Saturday, February 17th. This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee and televised on ESPN. Duke is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Virginia Tech. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles

The Duke Blue Devils Are Coming Off A Win

Entering tonight’s game, Duke is 19-5 overall and 9-3 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. They have won three straight games, including a 77-69 victory over Wake Forest in their most recent contest. So far, they are 4-3 on the road.

On the season, the Blue Devils have been favored in 22 of their 24 games, going 18-4 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin on the road is +3.3, compared to +16.4 at home. Over their last 10 road games, they are 6-4.

Duke has an ATS record of 12-11 this season and a mark of 2-5 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Duke’s games this year (146.6). This season, 11 of their 23 games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is 138 points.

The Florida State Seminoles Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Florida State enters this game as a 5.5-point underdog, and they have gone 6-6 this season when being the underdog. They have an overall record of 13-11, including a 7-6 mark in Atlantic Coast Conference action. The Seminoles have lost two straight games, and they are just 8-6 at home this season.

At home, Florida State has a scoring differential of +4.5 points per game, and they are coming off of a 83-75 loss to Virginia Tech. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5, and they are 0-3 in their last three games at home.

Florida State’s ATS record for the season is 12-11-1, but they have gone just 3-6-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games. As the underdog this year, the Seminoles are 7-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 150 in Florida State’s games this season. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

Duke Offense Breakdown

The Blue Devils’ offense finished with 77 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 80.5 points per contest. Mark Mitchell led the scoring for the Blue Devils, contributing 23 points. Additionally, Kyle Filipowski chipped in with 21 points.

Kyle Filipowski (C) 17.4 8.3 2.8
Jeremy Roach (G) 13.9 2.4 3.0
Jared McCain (G) 12.9 4.9 1.8

Florida State Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Seminoles’ offense tallied 75 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 76.5 points per game. The top scorer for the Seminoles was Jamir Watkins with 26 points, while Darin Green Jr also chipped in with 14 points.

Jamir Watkins (F) 14.5 5.8 2.8
Darin Green Jr (G) 11.8 3.0 1.0
Baba Miller (F) 7.6 4.8 1.5

Duke Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Duke defense is giving up an average of 67.7 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Wake Forest, the Demon Deacons finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 69 points vs. Duke.

Florida State Team Defense

So far, the Seminoles’ defense is ranked 238th in the country at 74.7 points per contest. Florida State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Virginia Tech to just 40% shooting in their most recent game.

Blue Devils vs Seminoles Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 4-1 while going 1-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 77 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Seminoles offense has averaged 76 points per game while allowing an average of 82. Florida State posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Seminoles have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.

Blue Devils vs Seminoles Prediction

The Seminoles come in as the underdog at +5.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 152.5 and our model has the Blue Devils and Seminoles finishing with a combined 142 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.