Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals NCAAB Betting prediction

Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Prediction 1/23/2024

The Duke Blue Devils (13-4) travel to face off against the Louisville Cardinals (6-12) on Tuesday, January 23rd. This game will be played at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville and televised on ACCN. Both Duke and Louisville will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals

The Duke Blue Devils Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At 13-4 overall and 3-2 in ACC play, Duke has been excellent this season. They are 10-2 at home, compared to just 2-2 on the road.

Duke is favored by 14 points in this game, and they have been the favorite in all 16 of their games this season, going 12-4.

When looking at Duke’s ATS record this season, they are currently sitting at .500 with an 8-8 mark. However, when you break it down by their favorite/underdog status, they are also at .500 with an 8-8 record. Over their last three games as the favorite, the Blue Devils are 0-3 vs. the spread, and they are just 2-3 over their last five games as the favorite. On the road this season, Duke is just 1-3 ATS, and their last three road games vs. the spread have resulted in an 0-2 mark.

This season, the over/under record for Duke games is 9-6-1. So far, the average point total in their games is 149.8 compared to an average over/under line of 146.1. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 148 points.

The Louisville Cardinals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Coming off a 90-65 loss to Wake Forest, Louisville has dropped three straight games and now stands at 6-12 overall. The Cardinals have been better at home, going 5-7 compared to 1-5 on the road.

As a team, Louisville is scoring 67.1 points per game at home compared to 65.9 points per game on the season. For the year, they have been outscored by 1.2 points per game at home and 11.7 points per game on the road.

Against the spread, Louisville has gone 7-9-2 this season. At home, they are 4-6-2 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Cardinals have a 5-5-1 record vs. the spread this year. Their last 10 games as the underdog, Louisville is 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Louisville’s games this season (146.9). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 160 points.

Duke Offense Breakdown

Against Pittsburgh, the Duke had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 81.6 points per game. They scored 76 points and posted a field goal percentage of 44.9% in the game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Blue Devils offense has been good from outside, hitting 37% of their three-pointers on an average of 21.7 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 48%.

Name PPG REB AST
Kyle Filipowski (C) 18.2 8.6 2.9
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.6 2.6 3.1
Jared McCain (G) 12.2 3.8 1.6

Louisville Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 73.1 points per game, the Louisville had a below average performance. They scored 65 points against Wake Forest and had a field goal percentage of 45.8%. Offensively, the Cardinals hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 276th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 287th in terms of percentage and 320th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Mike James (G) 14.1 5.6 1.3
Skyy Clark (G) 13.6 3.1 3.0
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (F) 10.6 8.3 0.9

Duke Team Defense

At this time, the Blue Devils’ defense is positioned 65th in the country, permitting 66.9 points per game. Duke’s three-point defense is currently 144th in the country at 7.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.4% of their shots vs. Duke.

Louisville Team Defense

Coming into the game, Louisville will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 77.8 points per game (279th). In their most recent game, the Louisville defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Wake Forest knocked down 18 three-pointers on their way to 90 points.

Blue Devils vs Cardinals Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 1-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 71 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Cardinals have a straight up record of 1-9 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 65 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Cardinals have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-4.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Blue Devils vs Cardinals Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +14, we recommend going with the Cardinals on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 153.5, and our model predicts the Blue Devils and Cardinals to score a combined 142 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.