Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers NCAAB Betting prediction

Duke Blue Devils vs Pittsburgh Panthers Prediction 1/9/2024

The Duke Blue Devils (11-3) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Panthers (10-5) on Tuesday, January 9th. This game will be played at Petersen Events Center in Pittsburgh and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Duke Blue Devils vs Pittsburgh Panthers

The Duke Blue Devils Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Notre Dame 67-59, the Blue Devils are 11-3 on the season, including a 6-4 record in their last 10 road games. So far, Duke has gone 2-2 on the road this year, compared to 9-1 at home.

As the favorite, the Blue Devils are 11-3 this season. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of +2.0 points per game away from home, while they are +22.0 at home.

Against the spread, Duke is 8-6 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 1-3. In their last three road games, the Blue Devils are 0-3 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Duke games is 7-6-1. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (146.2). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 150 points.

The Pittsburgh Panthers Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 10-5, Pittsburgh is 1-3 in ACC play and 9-2 outside of the conference. At home, they are 7-4 compared to 3-1 on the road.

So far, the Panthers have been the underdog in three games, going 0-3 in those contests. On the season, they have been the favorite 12 times, posting a 10-2 record.

As the underdog, Pittsburgh has struggled against the spread this season, going 0-3 vs. the spread. Their home ATS record is currently 5-5-1 and their overall ATS record is 8-6-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Panthers have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Pittsburgh games is 10-5. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (147.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 144 points.

Duke Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Duke offense ended with 67 points against Notre Dame. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 35.6% and made 8 threes. For the season, the Duke offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 48%. So far, they have hit 55% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 7.7 made three’s per contest.

Kyle Filipowski (C) 16.8 8.4 3.1
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.8 2.7 3.0
Jared McCain (G) 12.1 3.9 1.7

Pittsburgh Offense Breakdown

Pittsburgh’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 83 points against Louisville. They had an overall field goal percentage of 45.6% and made 19/21 free throws. Currently leading the team in scoring is Blake Hinson who comes into today’s matchup averaging 19.1. Carlton Carrington also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.6.

Blake Hinson (F) 19.1 4.8 0.9
Carlton Carrington (G) 14.6 5.3 5.0
Ishmael Leggett (G) 12.6 6.2 2.6

Duke Team Defense

Currently, the Blue Devils’ defense holds the 65th rank in the nation, allowing 66.1 points per game. In today’s game, the Duke defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 59 points.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

This season, the Pittsburgh defense has been impressive, holding the 54th position in the country while permitting an average of 65.5 points per contest. Pittsburgh’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Louisville offense to knock down 51% of their shots on their way to putting up 70 points.

Blue Devils vs Panthers Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Blue Devils offense has averaged 67 points per game while allowing an average of 68. Duke posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 1-4 ATS.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Pittsburgh has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 73 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Pittsburgh has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Duke has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Blue Devils vs Panthers Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Panthers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 145.5 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.