duke vs notre dame ncaab betting prediction

Duke vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction 1/6/2024

The Duke Blue Devils (10-3) travel to face off against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-8) on Saturday, January 6th. This game will be played at Purcell Pavilion in South Bend and televised on ACCN. Duke is coming off a win in their previous game, while Notre Dame is looking to get back on track from a loss to the North Carolina State. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Duke Blue Devils vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

The Duke Blue Devils Are Coming Off A Win

Duke heads into today’s matchup as the heavy favorite, favored by 11.5 points. They have an overall record of 10-3 and are currently riding a five-game winning streak. In their last game, the Blue Devils took down Syracuse by a score of 86-66.

So far this season, Duke has been dominant at home, going 9-1 with an average scoring margin of +22.0 points per game. However, on the road, they are just 1-2.

As the favorite this season, Duke has gone 8-5 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils are 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road, Duke has an ATS mark of 1-2 this year and their ATS record over their last 3 road games is 1-2.

So far this season, the over/under record for Duke games is 7-5-1. The average scoring total in their games is 150.2 points, which is higher than the average over/under line in their games of 147.2 points. Today’s over/under line is 133.5 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 158 points.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Notre Dame comes into today’s game as the 11.5 point underdog and will look to pull off the upset against Duke. So far this season, the Fighting Irish are 6-8 overall and 5-5 at home. In their last game, Notre Dame lost a close one to North Carolina State by a score of 54-52.

Over their last ten games at home, the Fighting Irish are 5-5. This season, they have been the underdog in seven of their 14 games, going 2-5 in those contests. On the year, Notre Dame has an average scoring margin of +1.4 points per game at home.

Notre Dame’s ATS record this season is currently at .500 (7-7). At home, the Fighting Irish are 4-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 home games, Notre Dame is 4-6 vs. the spread, but they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

So far this season, the over/under record for Notre Dame games is 4-10. The average over/under line in their games is 133.7 and today’s line is 133.5. Currently, the average scoring total in their games is 127.6. During their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 116.

Duke Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Blue Devils’ offense tallied 86 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 83.5 points per game. Mark Mitchell led the scoring for the Blue Devils, contributing 21 points. Additionally, Jared McCain chipped in with 18 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Kyle Filipowski (C) 17.5 8.7 3.0
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.5 2.5 3.1
Jared McCain (G) 12.2 3.8 1.8

Notre Dame Offense Breakdown

The Notre Dame offense is coming off a game where they scored 52 points against North Carolina State. They posted a field goal percentage of 40.4% and connected on 7 threes. Markus Burton led the scoring for the Fighting Irish, contributing 18 points. Additionally, Tae Davis chipped in with 7 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Markus Burton (G) 16.1 3.3 3.9
J.R Konieczny (G) 9.9 5.9 0.9
Tae Davis (F) 8.1 5.5 0.7

Duke Team Defense

The Blue Devils’ defense is presently ranked 73rd nationally, allowing an average of 66.6 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Notre Dame, the Duke defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Duke made 16 free-throws vs. the Blue Devils.

Notre Dame Team Defense

Currently, the Fighting Irish’s defense holds the 40th rank in the nation, allowing 64.8 points per game. So far, the Notre Dame defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.6 times per game (520th).

Blue Devils vs Fighting Irish Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Blue Devils offense has averaged 65 points per game while allowing an average of 66. Duke posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • In their last five home games, Notre Dame has averaged 58 points per game while allowing 67. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 4-1.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Fighting Irish have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • Duke has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Blue Devils vs Fighting Irish Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +11.5, we recommend going with the Fighting Irish on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 133.5 and our model has the Blue Devils and Fighting Irish finishing with a combined 141 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.