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Florida Gators vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction 12/19/2023

The Florida Gators (7-3) travel to face off against the Michigan Wolverines (6-5) on Tuesday, December 19th. This game will be played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte and televised on ESPN. Michigan is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Wake Forest. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Florida Gators vs Michigan Wolverines

The Florida Gators Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their 11th game of the season, Florida enters with a 7-3 record. In their last ten games on the road, Florida is 2-8, including games from last year. Florida has a sub-.500 ATS record at 2-5 thus far. Over their last five games, the team is 0-5 vs. the spread.

In 10 games, Florida comes in with an over/under mark of 5-1-1, with their games averaging 159.9 points per game. The Gators’ last five games have finished with a combined 154 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

The Michigan Wolverines Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan comes into this game with a 6-5 record, having played a total of 11 games. On the road, they are 2-1, while at home they are 2-3. As of today’s game, Michigan holds a 4-4 against the spread (ATS) record. When playing at home, Michigan has gone 2-3 vs. the spread this season and 3-6 in their previous ten home games.

Up to this point, games involving Michigan have had an average of 159.5 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 151.5 points. Their over/under record is 6-2-0. The Wolverines have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last three games, with their games averaging 156 points per game.

Florida Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Florida offense put up 71 points against Wake Forest. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40% and made 8 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Walter Clayton Jr. who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.5. Tyrese Samuel also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.9.

Name PPG REB AST
Walter Clayton Jr. (G) 16.5 3.8 3.6
Tyrese Samuel (F) 13.9 8.2 1.7
Riley Kugel (G) 12.4 4.3 1.9

Michigan Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 90 points against Iowa. They had an overall field goal percentage of 48.3% and made 23/28 free throws. The team’s scoring leader is Dug McDaniel, who holds an average of 17.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Olivier Nkamhoua is averaging 16.5 points per game this season.

Name PPG REB AST
Dug McDaniel (G) 17.9 3.5 5.0
Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 16.5 7.3 2.9
Terrance Williams II (F) 11.2 4.4 1.4

Florida Team Defense

So far, the Gators’ defense is ranked 179th in the country at 72.8 points per contest. Florida’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Wake Forest offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 82 points.

Michigan Team Defense

The Wolverines’ defense is presently ranked 217th nationally, allowing an average of 75.5 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Florida, the Michigan defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Michigan made 19 free-throws vs. the Wolverines.

Gators vs Wolverines Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Gators have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 79 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their last five home contests, Michigan has a 4-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 80 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, Florida has a poor record vs the spread going 1-4. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 4-1.

Gators vs Wolverines Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +3, we have the Wolverines as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 157 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.