Florida Gators vs Tennessee Volunteers NCAAB Betting prediction

Florida Gators vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction 1/16/2024

The Florida Gators (11-5) travel to face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (12-4) on Tuesday, January 16th. This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Florida Gators vs Tennessee Volunteers

The Florida Gators Are Coming Off A Win

Florida will be looking to improve their road record of 2-4 when they take on Tennessee. So far, Florida has a record of 11-5, including a win in their last game against Arkansas. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Gators are 3-7.

Florida has been the underdog in just one game this season, and they are 11-4 when favored. On the year, they have an average scoring differential of +18.2 points per game at home compared to -2.7 on the road.

Florida’s ATS record this season is 6-10, and they are 2-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Gators have gone 3-6-1 vs. the spread.

Florida’s over/under record for the season sits at 11-4-1, and the average over/under line in their games is 154. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 172. So far, their games have averaged 162.4 points per game, and today’s over/under line is set at 159.5.

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, Tennessee has been perfect, going 9-0. In their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of +21.8 points per game at home.

So far, Tennessee has been the favorite in 13 of their 16 games. They have gone 12-1 in those games. Their record in the Southeastern Conference is 2-1.

As the favorite this season, Tennessee has gone 6-6-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers’ ATS mark is 4-5-1. At home this year, Tennessee’s ATS record is 4-4-1 and over their last three games at Thompson-Boling Arena, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 159.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Tennessee’s games this year (140.5). So far, 13 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and this year, their over/under record is 10-6.

Florida Offense Breakdown

The Florida offense is coming off a game where they scored 90 points against Arkansas. They posted a field goal percentage of 49.3% and connected on 9 threes. In terms of offense, the Gators have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 107th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 206th in percentage and 182nd in three-pointers made.

Walter Clayton Jr. (G) 15.9 3.9 3.1
Tyrese Samuel (F) 13.6 8.2 1.9
Zyon Pullin (G) 15.2 3.4 4.7

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee finished with 85 points in their game against Georgia. This total surpasses their season-average of 78.7 points per game. Offensively, the Volunteers have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 244th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 213rd in percentage and 74th in three-pointers made.

Dalton Knecht (G) 17.2 4.2 1.6
Jonas Aidoo (F) 11.2 7.4 1.1
Zakai Zeigler (G) 10.5 2.2 5.1

Florida Team Defense

So far, the Gators’ defense is ranked 241st in the country at 76.0 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.9 threes per game vs. Tennessee. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.4%.

Tennessee Team Defense

At this time, the Volunteers’ defense is positioned 60th in the country, permitting 66.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Tennessee’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.3% this season.

Gators vs Volunteers Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Florida has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 79 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
  • Across the Volunteers last three home games, the team averaged 83 points per game while allowing 85. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Gators have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 3-6-1.
  • Although the Volunteers have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Gators vs Volunteers Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Volunteers vs. Gators matchup, our bet is to grab the Gators at +9.5. Even though our projections have the Volunteers winning 75-70, we see the Gators as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 159.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.