Florida State Seminoles vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes NCAAB Betting prediction

Florida State Seminoles vs Miami (FL) Prediction 1/17/2024

The Florida State Seminoles (10-6) travel to face off against the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (12-4) on Wednesday, January 17th. This game will be played at Watsco Center in Coral Gables and televised on ACCN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Florida State Seminoles vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes

The Florida State Seminoles Are Coming Off A Win

Florida State heads into this game as the underdog, and they are 3-2 in that role this season. They are also 10-6 overall, including a 4-1 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play. The Seminoles have won four straight games, and they are coming off a 67-58 win over Notre Dame.

On the road this season, Florida State is 2-3, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -5.6 points per game. Overall, the Seminoles have been the underdog in five of their 16 games.

Florida State has an overall ATS record of 9-6-1 this season, including a 3-2 mark vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Seminoles have gone 4-1 vs. the spread in their last five games and 6-4 in their last 10. Their ATS record as the underdog this season is 4-1.

This season, the over/under record for Florida State games is 9-6-1. So far, the average point total in their games is 149.8, which is similar to the average OU line of 150.2. Today’s OU line of 156.5 is higher than the average point total in their games. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 148 points.

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes Are Coming Off A Win

So far this season, Miami (FL) has been dominant at home, going 11-1 compared to 1-3 on the road. They have also been favored in 12 of their 16 games, going 10-2 in those matchups.

In their last game, the Hurricanes defeated Virginia Tech by a score of 75-71. Over their last 10 games at home, Miami (FL) has gone 9-1.

At home this season, Miami has gone 8-4 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hurricanes are 5-5 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Miami games is 9-7. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and in their last five games, the over/under record is 2-3. On average, the scoring total in their games this year is 155.9 points and today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (154.5). So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

Florida State Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Florida State offense tallied 67 points in a matchup against Notre Dame. Their field goal percentage for the game was 39.1%, and they made 4 threes. The team’s top scorer is Jamir Watkins, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 13, while Darin Green Jr also carries a PPG average of 12.7 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Jamir Watkins (F) 13.0 5.9 3.2
Darin Green Jr (G) 12.7 2.9 0.8
Baba Miller (F) 7.8 5.2 1.6

Miami (FL) Offense Breakdown

The Miami (FL) offense is coming off a game where they scored 75 points against Virginia Tech. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.4% and connected on 9 threes. Matthew Cleveland led the scoring for the Hurricanes, contributing 21 points. Additionally, Nijel Pack chipped in with 19 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Norchad Omier (F) 17.3 9.2 1.1
Matthew Cleveland (G) 16.4 5.6 1.9
Wooga Poplar (G) 15.9 4.8 2.3

Florida State Team Defense

At this time, the Seminoles’ defense is positioned 192nd in the country, permitting 73.1 points per game. In their most recent game, the Florida State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Notre Dame knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 58 points.

Miami (FL) Team Defense

On the defensive side, Miami (FL) is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.2 points per game. Against Virginia Tech in their most recent game, the Miami (FL) defense gave up a total of 71 points while allowing Virginia Tech to hit 48% of their shots.

Seminoles vs Hurricanes Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Florida State has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 70 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
  • Although Miami (FL) has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-1-1. The team averaged 73 points per game in these games.
  • The Seminoles have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
  • Miami (FL) has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Seminoles vs Hurricanes Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Hurricanes vs. Hurricanes game, we suggest taking the Hurricanes at -7.5. Even though our predictions have the Hurricanes winning 74-68, we see the Seminoles as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 156.5, and our model projects the Seminoles and Hurricanes to reach a combined total of 142 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.