Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State NCAAB Betting Prediction

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State Prediction 3/14/2024

The Fresno State Bulldogs (11-20) travel to face off against the Utah State Aggies (26-5) on Thursday, March 14th. This game will be played at Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas and televised on CBSS. Utah State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Fresno State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Wyoming. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Utah State Aggies

The Fresno State Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing their last six games, Fresno State will look to get back on track as they take on Utah State. So far this season, the Bulldogs have gone 11-20, including a 4-13 mark in Mountain West play. On the road, Fresno State has gone just 3-9, and they come into this game with a road average scoring margin of -10.2.

As the underdog, the Bulldogs have gone just 2-16 this season, compared to an 8-3 record when they are favored. In their most recent game, Fresno State lost to Wyoming by a score of 86-47. Over their last 10 games, the Bulldogs have gone just 3-7 on the road.

As the underdog this season, Fresno State has gone 6-12 vs. the spread. On the road, the Bulldogs have an ATS mark of 5-7 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 6-4. In their last three road games, Fresno State has a 2-1 ATS record.

This season, the over/under record for Fresno State games is 16-13. On average, their games have finished with 140.2 points, compared to an average over/under line of 138.5. So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line of 142.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average of 139 points per game.

The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State is a 12.5-point favorite at home against Fresno State. The Aggies have been the favorite in 23 of their 31 games this season, going 22-1 in those contests.

At home, Utah State is 14-1 this season, and they have won their last four games at home. Over their last 10 games at home, the Aggies have gone 9-1.

Utah State’s ATS record this season is 15-11-1, and they are 9-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Utah State games is 15-12. On average, their games have finished with 148.6 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (145.2). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 154 points per game.

Fresno State Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 67.1 points per game, the Fresno State had a below average performance. They scored 47 points against Wyoming and had a field goal percentage of 28.6%. Offensively, the Bulldogs have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 154th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 266th in percentage and 237th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Isaiah Hill (G) 12.1 3.2 6.1
Xavier Dusell (G) 11.6 2.1 0.5
Isaiah Pope (G) 8.7 3.3 1.5

Utah State Offense Breakdown

The Utah State offense is coming off a game where they scored 87 points against New Mexico. They posted a field goal percentage of 53.6% and connected on 6 threes. The top scorer for the Aggies was Ian Martinez with 22 points, while Great Osobor also added 21 to the scoreboard.

Name PPG REB AST
Great Osobor (F) 17.6 9.0 2.9
Ian Martinez (G) 13.3 3.7 1.7
Darius Brown II (G) 12.4 4.4 6.4

Fresno State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Fresno State defense is giving up an average of 73.5 points per contest. Fresno State’s three-point defense is currently 200th in the country at 7.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 47.0% of their shots vs. Fresno State.

Utah State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Utah State defense is giving up an average of 69.6 points per contest. Utah State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the New Mexico offense to knock down 53% of their shots on their way to putting up 85 points.

Bulldogs vs Aggies Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Fresno State has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 64 points per game.
  • In their last five games at home, the Aggies have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 74 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Fresno State has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Aggies struggled vs the spread going just 2-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 5-0.

Bulldogs vs Aggies Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Aggies vs. Bulldogs matchup, our bet is to grab the Bulldogs at +12.5. Even though our projections have the Aggies winning 75-70, we see the Bulldogs as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 142.5 and our model has the Bulldogs and Aggies finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.