Gasperilla bowl prediction

Georgia Tech vs. UCF Gasparilla Bowl Prediction 12/22/2023

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-6) face off against the UCF Knights (6-6) on Friday, December 22nd. This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa and televised on ESPN. UCF is coming off a win in their previous game, while Georgia Tech is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia. Kickoff is set for 6:30 ET.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs UCF Knights

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Despite cutting to Georgia’s big 4th quarter lead, Georgia Tech still fell by a score of 31-23 in their most-recent game. Haynes King ended the game vs. Georgia with two rushing touchdowns while rushing for 24 yards. Through the air, he had a completion percentage of 55.0%, amassing 158 yards. In terms of passer rating, he finished with a mark of 80.83.

Going into the game, Georgia Tech was 24-point underdogs and despite the straight-up loss, they did cover the spread. The team’s combined 54 points was not enough to surpass the over/under line of 59.5.

So far, the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are 6-6, including going 3-2 on the road and 2-4 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with UCF, the Yellow Jackets have been favored in three games and the underdog in eight. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 7-4. Heading into this week’s game, Georgia Tech’s over/under record is 8-3. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +5.3 with their games averaging 61.7 points per game.

The UCF Knights Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their matchup with Georgia Tech, the Knights are looking to build on their most recent 27-13 win over Houston. In UCF’s most recent win, John Rhys Plumlee not only threw for one touchdown but ran for one as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 253 yards while completing 85.2% of his passes.

Despite winning straight-up, UCF did not cover the spread as pre-game 15.5 point favorites. The teams fell short of the over/under line of 61.5 points.

So far, the UCF Knights are 6-6, including going 2-4 on the road and 3-2 at home.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Georgia Tech, the Knights have been favored in seven games and the underdog in four. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 4-7. In 12 games played, the average over/under line for UCF’s games has been set at 59.8 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 57.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-6.

Georgia Tech Offense Breakdown

The Yellow Jackets’ heads into the game, averaging 197.8 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 18th in rushing yards and 18th in passing yards at 235.5 yards per contest. Georgia Tech is averaging 31.2 points per game, which is 42nd in the nation.

This season, Haynes King has been responsible for 2797 passing yards, maintaining an average of 12.8 per completion. He has a completion rate of 61.9%, having thrown 26 touchdowns.

UCF Offense Breakdown

In the rushing game, the Knights are currently 16th in college football with 494 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 233.2 rushing yards per game, putting them 7th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 27.8 passes and 259.2 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 34th, averaging 32.5 points per game.

The top passer for UCF is John Rhys Plumlee, who has accumulated 2074 passing yards and boasts a completion rate of 63.9%. He’s currently averaging 9.1 yards per passing attempt.

Georgia Tech Team Defense

The Yellow Jackets defense will take the field with 18 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 30.5 points per game (130th). Against the pass, the team is 69th in the NCAA, allowing 211.3 passing yards per game. Additionally, Georgia Tech’s run defense has 226.1 rushing yards per contest.

UCF Team Defense

UCF’s defense ranks 94th in points allowed, with 25.4 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 205.8 passing yards against them (59th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 188.3 rushing yards, putting them 149th in college football.

Georgia Tech vs UCF Trends

  • Georgia Tech’s three most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 2-1 against the spread.
  • Looking across UCF’s five most recent home games, they are 2-3 against the spread.
  • UCF’s ATS record in their three most recent games as an underdog is 3-0.
  • Georgia Tech’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 1-4.

Georgia Tech vs UCF Prediction

Coming into this game, UCF’s offense has been a below average group at converting on third downs. I’m not counting on them suddenly figuring this out and like Georgia Tech +4.5.

So far this season, Georgia Tech has an +5.3 average margin against their over/under lines. At 64, we have this game going over with a combined 66 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.