capital one orange bowl prediction

Georgia vs Florida State Orange Bowl Prediction 12/30/2023

The Georgia Bulldogs (12-1) face off against the Florida State Seminoles (13-0) on Saturday, December 30th. This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens and televised on ESPN. Florida State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Georgia is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Alabama. Kickoff is set for 4:00 ET.

Georgia Bulldogs vs Florida State Seminoles

The Georgia Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Georgia is coming of a 27-24 loss to Alabama. The Bulldogs were never able to receover from falling behind early, trailing 21-7 at the half. Quarterback Carson Beck did not throw for a touchdown in the team’s loss over Alabama, but he did rush for one touchdown. Overall, he had a completion percentage of 72.4% and threw for 243 yards.

Leading up to the game, Georgia was favored to win by 5.5, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 54.

So far, the Georgia Bulldogs are 12-1, including going 5-1 on the road and 6-0 at home.

Against the spread, Georgia has put together a record of 4-7-1. This mark has come while being favored in every game. After 13 games, the average over/under line in Georgia’s matches stands at 53.8 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 55 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-6.

The Florida State Seminoles Are Coming Off A Win

Florida State is coming off a low-scoring 16-6 win over Louisville. If they hope to pick up another win over Georgia, they will need a better performance from their offense. In the win against Louisville, Brock Glenn threw for 55 yards on 8 of 21 passing. His overall passer rating was 46.33 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Florida State was favored by 1 heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The under hit in the game, as the team’s combined for 22 with an over/under line of 46.5.

Florida State’s current record is 13-0 as they prepare for this week’s game. This year, they’ve played four road games and seven matchups.

Heading into this week’s matchup with Georgia, the Seminoles have been favored in 10 games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 7-4. So far this season, the average over/under line for Florida State’s games has been 51.2 points. The Seminoles have an over/under record of 6-5 heading into this week’s game.

Georgia Offense Breakdown

Georgia’s offense is averaging 38.4 points per game, which ranks them 7th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 305.6 passing yards on average, putting them at 5th in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 24th in rushing yards, with an average of 444 rushing attempts per game this season.

This season, Carson Beck has been responsible for 3738 passing yards, maintaining an average of 12.9 per completion. He has a completion rate of 72.4%, having thrown 22 touchdowns.

Florida State Offense Breakdown

The Seminoles’ offense is set to face Georgia while averaging 159 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 54th for rushing yards and 27th for passing yards, with an average of 259.4 yards per matchup. Overall, Florida State is putting up 37 points per game, which is 9th nationally.

Jordan Travis leads the team in passing yards this season with 2755. He’s averaged 13.3 per completion and holds a 63.9% completion rate, having thrown 20 touchdowns.

Georgia Team Defense

This season, the Bulldogs’ defense has allowed 117.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 177th. Opponents average 177.7 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks have put together a passer rating of 72.1 against Georgia. They hold the 97th position in NCAA points allowed.

Florida State Team Defense

Florida State’s defense is ranked 186th in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 29.7 passing attempts against the Seminoles. They have given up 15.9 points per game so far, placing them 54th in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 57th.

Georgia vs Florida State Trends

  • On the road, Georgia has gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
  • Florida State’s ATS record at home (last five) is 3-2.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Florida State has put together an ATS record of 4-1.
  • Looking back on the last three times Georgia was favored, their ATS record was 1-2.

Georgia vs Florida State Prediction

Georgia is poised to not only pick up victory, but cover the spread over Florida State. With the stronger passing game, I see this is an excellent matchup for Georgia. My pick for this game is Georgia at -14.

Georgia’s games this season have seen an average of 55 points scored. Given the current over/under line at 45.5, my choice is to go with the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.