Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Saint Mary’s Gaels NCAAB Betting Prediction

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction 3/2/2024

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (23-6) travel to face off against the Saint Mary’s Gaels (24-6) on Saturday, March 2nd. This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs Saint Mary’s Gaels

The Gonzaga Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Gonzaga enters this game as the underdog, with a record of 1-2 in that role this season. The Bulldogs have been excellent on the road this year, going 8-2 and winning their last six games away from home.

Overall, Gonzaga has won seven straight games, and they are 23-6 on the season. In their last game, they defeated San Francisco by a score of 86-68. So far, they are 13-2 in West Coast Conference play.

Against the spread this season, Gonzaga is 13-15, but they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three road games and 5-5 in their last 10 road games. As the underdog, the Bulldogs are 1-2 vs. the spread this year and 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Gonzaga games sits at 13-14-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 154.5 and their games have finished with an average of 154.3 points. This year, 22 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 139. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-1-1.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels Are Coming Off A Win

With a 24-6 record, the Gaels have won 16 straight games and are 15-0 in West Coast Conference play. They have been even better at home, going 13-6 with an average scoring margin of +14.1 points per game. Saint Mary’s is coming off an 83-57 win over Pepperdine.

On the season, the Gaels have been the favorite in 26 of their 30 games, going 20-6 in those contests. They are 10-0 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is +15.5 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Saint Mary’s has gone 13-13 vs. the spread. At home, the Gaels are 9-10 ATS this year and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have a mark of 7-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 139 is higher than the average OU line in Saint Mary’s games this season (133.2). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 141 points. This year, their over/under record is 16-13.

Gonzaga Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Gonzaga offense ended with 86 points against San Francisco. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 62.5% and made 3 threes. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Graham Ike with 26 points, while Nolan Hickman also chipped in with 22 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Graham Ike (F) 16.7 7.2 1.0
Anton Watson (F) 14.6 7.3 2.6
Nolan Hickman (G) 14.3 2.3 2.6

Saint Mary’s Offense Breakdown

Saint Mary’s’ offense had a good outing, putting up 83 points against Pepperdine. They achieved a 59.6% field goal percentage and went 6/11 from the free-throw line. Augustas Marciulionis led the scoring for the Gaels, contributing 17 points. Additionally, Luke Barrett chipped in with 14 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Aidan Mahaney (G) 13.6 2.6 2.6
Augustas Marciulionis (G) 12.4 3.1 5.1
Mitchell Saxen (C) 11.5 7.4 1.5

Gonzaga Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Gonzaga defense is giving up an average of 69.1 points per contest. The Gonzaga defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed San Francisco to connect on 7 threes.

Saint Mary’s Team Defense

Saint Mary’s’ defense has been playing well, ranking 3rd nationally, with 58.1 points allowed per game. Saint Mary’s will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Pepperdine to just 36% shooting in their most recent game.

Bulldogs vs Gaels Trends

  • The Bulldogs are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 5-0 straight-up.
  • Across the Gaels last ten home games, the team averaged 73 points per game while allowing 58. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 10-0 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Gonzaga has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Gaels have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Saint Mary’s posted a straight up mark of 10-0 in these matchups.

Bulldogs vs Gaels Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Gaels to secure the win, with an expected final score of 76-69. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -3.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 139, and our model predicts the Bulldogs and Gaels to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.