Gonzaga Bulldogs vs San Francisco Dons NCAAB Betting Prediction

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs San Francisco Dons Prediction 2/29/2024

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (22-6) travel to face off against the San Francisco Dons (22-7) on Thursday, February 29th. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 11:00 ET.

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs San Francisco Dons

The Gonzaga Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Santa Clara by a score of 94-81, Gonzaga comes into this game with a 22-6 record and a six-game win streak. They have gone 12-2 in West Coast Conference play compared to their 10-4 non-conference record.

On the road this season, the Bulldogs have gone 7-2, and their average scoring margin is +13.9 points per game. They have won their last five road games and have gone 8-2 in their last 10.

When looking at Gonzaga’s ATS record for the season, they are currently 12-15, which includes an 8-10 mark at home. When favored, the Bulldogs are 11-13 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Gonzaga has gone just 4-6.

So far this season, the over/under record in Gonzaga games is 13-14. Today’s over/under line of 156 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (154.6). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 168 points.

The San Francisco Dons Are Coming Off A Win

San Francisco has been dominant at home this season, going 15-2 with an average scoring margin of +16.3 points per game. The Dons have won their last four games at home and are 9-1 in their last 10.

Overall, San Francisco has gone 22-7 this season, including an 11-3 mark in West Coast Conference play. The Dons have been the favorite in 22 of their 29 games this season, going 21-1 in those contests.

As the underdog, San Francisco has been solid against the spread this season, going 4-2. Overall, the Dons have an ATS mark of 17-11 and are 10-7 vs. the spread at home. However, their ATS record at home has been just 1-4 in their last five games and 6-4 in their last 10.

This season, the over/under record for San Francisco is 15-13 and today’s over/under line of 156 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (141.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

Gonzaga Offense Breakdown

Gonzaga is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 94 points vs. Santa Clara. This figure is more than their season average of 86.1 points per game. In terms of offense, the Bulldogs have a season-long field goal percentage of 51%, putting them 15th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 177th in percentage and 219th in three-pointers made.

Graham Ike (F) 16.3 7.2 1.0
Anton Watson (F) 14.8 7.4 2.6
Nolan Hickman (G) 14.0 2.3 2.6

San Francisco Offense Breakdown

San Francisco recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 92 points against Pepperdine. This output exceeded their season average of 79 points per game. Jonathan Mogbo is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Marcus Williams brings a PPG average of 14.1 into the game.

Jonathan Mogbo (F) 14.9 10.1 3.4
Marcus Williams (G) 14.1 3.4 3.7
Malik Thomas (G) 11.2 2.6 0.5

Gonzaga Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Gonzaga defense is giving up an average of 69.1 points per contest. Gonzaga’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Santa Clara offense to knock down 56% of their shots on their way to putting up 81 points.

San Francisco Team Defense

The Dons’ defense is presently ranked 32nd nationally, allowing an average of 65.4 points per contest. So far, the San Francisco defense is giving up an average of 6.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11 times per game (500th).

Bulldogs vs Dons Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Bulldogs have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 83 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their last five home contests, San Francisco has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 75 points per game.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dons have a strong record vs the spread going 3-0. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-3.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Bulldogs struggled vs the spread going just 0-3. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-0.

Bulldogs vs Dons Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +4.5, we have the Dons as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 156 and our model has the Bulldogs and Dons finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.