Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Betting Prediction

Illinois Fighting vs Michigan State Prediction 2/10/2024

The Illinois Fighting Illini (17-5) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (14-9) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at Breslin Center in East Lansing and televised on CBS. Illinois is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Minnesota. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State Spartans

The Illinois Fighting Illini Are Coming Off A Win

Illinois is 17-5 this season, including a 7-3 mark in the Big Ten. They have won two straight games and are 4-3 on the road this year. Overall, they have been 14-3 when favored and 2-2 as underdogs.

Coming off an 87-75 win over Ohio State, the Fighting Illini have gone 2-1 in their last three road games. Over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6.

Illinois has been a strong bet this season, going 11-8-2 against the spread. Their ATS mark is even better on the road, where they are 5-1-1. As the underdog, the Fighting Illini are 3-0-1 vs. the spread this year and have gone 7-2-1 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois games is 13-8. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 151.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (147). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 154 points.

The Michigan State Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State is 13-4 at home this season, and they’ve won nine in a row at the Breslin Center. They’re 12-5 as the favorite, and their average scoring margin at home is +15.2.

Overall, the Spartans are 14-9, and they’re 6-6 in Big Ten action. They’re coming off a 59-56 loss to Minnesota, and their record on the road is 1-5.

As the favorite this season, Michigan State has gone 10-7 vs. the spread. At home, the Spartans have an ATS mark of 11-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Michigan State has gone 7-3 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, the Spartans have an ATS record of 2-1.

The over/under record for Michigan State this season is 10-13 and the average over/under line in their games is 141.3. So far, 15 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line of 145.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 124 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

Illinois Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Illinois’ offense looked good, scoring 87 points against Ohio State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 51.7% and made 18/20 free throws. The Illinois offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 24.7 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 33% of their looks from outside this season.

Marcus Domask (F) 15.7 4.6 3.5
Terrence Shannon Jr. (G) 20.0 4.1 2.5
Quincy Guerrier (F) 11.0 7.5 0.2

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

The Michigan State offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 56 points versus Minnesota. During the game, they attempted 18 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 44.7%. On the offensive front, the Spartans have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 71st nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 99th in terms of percentage and 254th in three-pointers made.

Tyson Walker (G) 19.0 2.6 3.0
Malik Hall (F) 11.3 5.0 2.1
A.J Hoggard (G) 11.2 3.3 5.2

Illinois Team Defense

The Fighting Illini’s defense is presently ranked 114th nationally, allowing an average of 69.6 points per contest. The Illinois defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 75 points and allowed Ohio State to connect on 4 threes.

Michigan State Team Defense

The Spartans’ defense is presently ranked 32nd nationally, allowing an average of 65.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Michigan State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.8% this season.

Fighting Illini vs Spartans Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Illinois has an ATS mark of 6-3-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 79 points per game.
  • Across the Spartans last ten home games, the team averaged 74 points per game while allowing 77. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 3-7 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Illinois has an ATS mark of 3-1-1 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Spartans have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Fighting Illini vs Spartans Prediction

The Spartans is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Spartans at -2.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 145.5, and our model projects the Fighting Illini and Spartans to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.