Indiana Hoosiers vs Illinois Fighting IlliniNCAAB Betting Prediction

Indiana vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction 1/27/2024

The Indiana Hoosiers (12-7) travel to face off against the Illinois Fighting Illini (14-5) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at State Farm Center in Champaign and televised on FOX. Illinois is coming off a win in their previous game, while Indiana is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Wisconsin. Tip-off is set for 3:00 ET.

Indiana Hoosiers vs Illinois Fighting Illini

The Indiana Hoosiers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Indiana enters this game as a 12.5-point underdog, and they have gone 2-7 in games where they are the underdog this season. The Hoosiers are 12-7 overall, but they have lost their last two games, including a 91-79 loss to Wisconsin in their most recent game.

On the road, Indiana is just 2-4 this season, and they have lost their last three games away from home. For the year, they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games, and their average scoring margin on the road is -7.7 points per game.

Indiana’s ATS record this season is 9-9-1, including a mark of 2-3-1 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Hoosiers are 4-5 vs. the spread this year and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is quite a bit higher than the average over/under line in Indiana’s games this year (144.6). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last five games, the average scoring total is 143 points and the over/under record is 2-3.

The Illinois Fighting Illini Are Coming Off A Win

Illinois enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 14 of their 19 games this season. They have gone 12-2 in those games. At home, the Fighting Illini have been even better, going 11-2 compared to their 3-2 record on the road.

Overall, Illinois is 14-5, including a 5-2 mark in Big Ten play. They come into this game on a two-game winning streak, and they won their last game against Rutgers, 86-63.

When looking at Illinois’ ATS record this season, they are currently 10-6-2. At home, their ATS mark is 6-6-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Illini are 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Illinois’ games this year (146.6). For the season, the over/under record in the Illini’s games is 11-7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 165 points and the over/under record is 3-0.

Indiana Offense Breakdown

The Hoosiers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 79 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 74.2 points per contest. Malik Reneau is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.5. Meanwhile, Kel’el Ware also brings a PPG average of 14.2 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Malik Reneau (F) 16.5 6.1 2.9
Kel’el Ware (C) 14.2 9.4 1.8
Mackenzie Mgbako (F) 10.8 3.8 1.5

Illinois Offense Breakdown

Illinois’ offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Rutgers, finishing the game with a total of 86 points. Their season average is now 82.7 points per game. Offensively, the Fighting Illini have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 106th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 166th in percentage and 89th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Marcus Domask (F) 15.1 4.5 3.4
Terrence Shannon Jr. (G) 20.5 4.2 2.7
Quincy Guerrier (F) 11.8 8.1 0.2

Indiana Team Defense

The Hoosiers’ defense is presently ranked 213rd nationally, allowing an average of 74.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.6 threes per game vs. Illinois. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.5%.

Illinois Team Defense

The Fighting Illini’s defense is presently ranked 97th nationally, allowing an average of 69.0 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.1 threes per game vs. Indiana. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.5%.

Hoosiers vs Fighting Illini Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Indiana has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 68 points per game.
  • Although Illinois has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-3-1. The team averaged 77 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Indiana has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Fighting Illini have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.

Hoosiers vs Fighting Illini Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Fighting Illini vs. Fighting Illini matchup, we’re leaning towards the Fighting Illini at -12.5. Although our projections show the Fighting Illini winning 75-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Hoosiers for the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 153.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.