Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction 1/27/2024

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines Prediction 1/27/2024

The Iowa Hawkeyes (11-8) travel to face off against the Michigan Wolverines (7-12) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor and televised on FS1. Both Iowa and Michigan will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 5:00 ET.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Michigan Wolverines

The Iowa Hawkeyes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Despite being the underdog in this one, Iowa has been the favorite in 12 of their 19 games this season, going 10-2 in those games. However, they are just 1-6 when they are the underdog.

On the road, the Hawkeyes are just 1-4 this season, compared to 10-4 at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +14.4, while on the road it is -10.8.

As the underdog this season, Iowa has an ATS record of just 2-5. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-3, and over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hawkeyes are 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 164.5 for Iowa’s game against Michigan is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (160.6). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their average scoring total across their last five games is 156 points.

The Michigan Wolverines Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan is coming off a 99-67 loss to Purdue, and they have lost two straight games. The Wolverines have gone 1-4 in their last five home games, and they are 4-8 at home this season.

Overall, Michigan has gone 7-12, and they are 2-6 in Big Ten play. As the favorite, the Wolverines are 4-6 this season.

Michigan’s ATS record this season is 5-13, including a 3-9 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wolverines are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Michigan games is 12-6. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 149.9 and today’s line of 164.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 155 points.

Iowa Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 85.1 points per game, the Iowa had a below average performance. They scored 67 points against Maryland and had a field goal percentage of 42.1%. Offensively, the Hawkeyes have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 72nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 204th in percentage and 237th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Ben Krikke (F) 16.1 5.2 1.6
Tony Perkins (G) 14.7 4.1 4.1
Payton Sandfort (F) 13.8 6.9 2.6

Michigan Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 78.7 points per game, Michigan struggled in their previous game. Against Purdue, the Wolverines scored 67 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 33.8%. Jaelin Llewellyn was the leading scorer for the Wolverines, putting up 16 points. In addition, Terrance Williams II contributed 10 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 16.5 7.2 2.6
Dug McDaniel (G) 17.4 3.9 5.1
Terrance Williams II (F) 12.5 4.4 1.3

Iowa Team Defense

Currently, the Hawkeyes’ defense holds the 267th rank in the nation, allowing 77.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.5 threes per game vs. Michigan. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.8%.

Michigan Team Defense

So far, the Wolverines’ defense is ranked 287th in the country at 78.7 points per contest. Michigan’s three-point defense is currently 160th in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.9% of their shots vs. Michigan.

Hawkeyes vs Wolverines Trends

  • Although Iowa has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 74 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Wolverines offense has averaged 65 points per game while allowing an average of 80. Michigan posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 0-3 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Hawkeyes have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.

Hawkeyes vs Wolverines Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Wolverines to secure the win, with an expected final score of 76-68. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -1.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 164.5, and our model predicts the Hawkeyes and Wolverines to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.