Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears NCAA Betting Prediction

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears Prediction 2/3/2024

The Iowa State Cyclones (16-4) travel to face off against the Baylor Bears (15-5) on Saturday, February 3rd. This game will be played at Foster Pavilion in Waco and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears

The Iowa State Cyclones Are Coming Off A Win

At 16-4, Iowa State has been dominant at home, going 13-1 compared to just 3-3 on the road. They come in as four-point underdogs against Baylor, and their record as the underdog this season is 2-2.

The Cyclones have won three straight games and are 5-5 in their last 10 road games. In their most recent game, they defeated Kansas, 79-75.

As the underdog this season, Iowa State has gone 2-2 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is just 2-4, including a 1-2 record in their last three away games. Overall, the Cyclones are 12-7-1 ATS this year.

This season, the over/under record in Iowa State games is 13-7 and today’s line of 146.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (138). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

The Baylor Bears Are Coming Off A Win

After a win over UCF, Baylor is 15-5 overall and 4-2 in Big 12 play. At home, the Bears have a perfect 11-0 record and an average scoring margin of +23.6.

On the season, Baylor has been favored in 14 of its 20 games and has gone 13-1 in those contests. In Big 12 play, the Bears have gone 11-3 compared to 3-4 on the road.

When looking at Baylor’s overall ATS record this season, they have gone 12-6. However, when looking at their ATS record at home, they are 9-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Baylor games is 10-8. On average, their games have finished with 152.2 points per game, which is 3.4 points higher than the average over/under line in their games (148.8). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 167 points.

Iowa State Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Iowa State offense put up 79 points against Kansas. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.9% and made 14 threes. Offensively, the Cyclones have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 53rd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 155th in percentage and 252nd in three-pointers made.

Keshon Gilbert (G) 13.7 4.7 4.2
Tamin Lipsey (G) 13.9 5.2 5.7
Milan Momcilovic (F) 13.1 3.3 1.1

Baylor Offense Breakdown

The Baylor offense is coming off a game where they scored 77 points against UCF. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.1% and connected on 9 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Langston Love with 24 points. Jalen Bridges also added 12 points for the Bears.

Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 14.8 4.6 1.6
RayJ Dennis (G) 13.2 3.7 6.7
Langston Love (G) 12.2 2.7 1.1

Iowa State Team Defense

In the current season, the Iowa State defense has excelled, sitting 7th in the nation by allowing 61.8 points per game. Against Kansas in their most recent game, the Iowa State defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Kansas to hit 45% of their shots.

Baylor Team Defense

So far, the Bears’ defense is ranked 144th in the country at 71.0 points per contest. Baylor’s three-point defense is currently 67th in the country at 6.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. Baylor.

Cyclones vs Bears Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Iowa State has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 69 points per game.
  • Baylor has a 2-3 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 71 points per game while allowing 72. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Cyclones have gone 4-5-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Bears have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Cyclones vs Bears Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Bears, with a final score of 76-68, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Bears at -4.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 146.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.