iowa vs minnesota ncaab betting prediction

Iowa vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers Prediction 1/15/2024

The Iowa Hawkeyes (10-6) travel to face off against the Minnesota Golden Gophers (12-4) on Monday, January 15th. This game will be played at Williams Arena in Minneapolis and televised on BTN. Iowa is coming off a win in their previous game, while Minnesota is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Indiana. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

The Iowa Hawkeyes Are Coming Off A Win

After a 94-76 win over Nebraska, Iowa comes into this game with a 10-6 record. Their record as the favorite is 10-1, and they have won two straight games. The Hawkeyes have a 2-3 record in Big Ten play and an 8-3 record in non-conference games.

So far this season, Iowa has been much better at home compared to on the road. Their record at home is 10-2, and their average scoring margin is +18.1. On the road, they have gone 0-4 and have an average scoring margin of -15.8.

As the favorite, Iowa has gone 6-5 vs. the spread this season and is 4-1 in their last 5 games as the favorite. On the road, the Hawkeyes have an ATS record of 1-3 this year and are 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. Overall, Iowa is 7-9 ATS this season.

Today’s over/under line of 158.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Iowa’s games this season (161.2). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Minnesota enters this game with a 12-4 overall record and a 3-2 mark in Big Ten play. The Golden Gophers are 11-1 at home this season, and they have won nine straight games at home.

So far, Minnesota has been the underdog in six of its 16 games, going 2-4 in those contests. The Golden Gophers’ average scoring margin at home is +17.9 compared to -9.5 on the road.

Minnesota has been excellent against the spread this season, going 12-3-1. At home, the Golden Gophers are 10-1-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Minnesota has gone 6-4.

Minnesota’s over/under record this season is 7-9 and today’s line of 158.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.1). So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.

Iowa Offense Breakdown

Iowa finished with 94 points in their game against Nebraska. This total surpasses their season-average of 87.1 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Ben Krikke, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.4, while Payton Sandfort also maintains a PPG average of 14.5 leading up to the game.

Ben Krikke (F) 16.4 5.4 1.7
Payton Sandfort (F) 14.5 7.1 2.9
Tony Perkins (G) 13.9 4.2 4.2

Minnesota Offense Breakdown

Against Indiana, the Minnesota had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 77.9 points per game. They scored 62 points and posted a field goal percentage of 39% in the game. In terms of offense, the Golden Gophers have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 60th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 185th in percentage and 129th in three-pointers made.

Dawson Garcia (F) 16.5 7.6 2.1
Joshua Ola-Joseph (F) 10.8 2.8 0.8
Mike Mitchell Jr. (G) 10.4 2.6 2.6

Iowa Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Iowa defense is giving up an average of 77.5 points per contest. So far, the Iowa defense is giving up an average of 10.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.7 times per game (375th).

Minnesota Team Defense

So far, the Golden Gophers’ defense is ranked 74th in the country at 66.8 points per contest. Minnesota’s three-point defense is currently 55th in the country at 5.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.6% of their shots vs. Minnesota.

Hawkeyes vs Golden Gophers Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Iowa has an ATS record of 3-6-1 while averaging 69 per game. The team went 2-8 overall in these games.
  • Minnesota has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 69 points per game while allowing 76. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the Golden Gophers have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Hawkeyes have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Hawkeyes vs Golden Gophers Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +1.5, we have the Golden Gophers as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 158.5, and our model projects the Hawkeyes and Golden Gophers to reach a combined total of 142 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.