Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina NCAAB Betting Prediction

Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina Prediction 3/12/2024

The Louisville Cardinals (8-23) travel to face off against the North Carolina State Wolfpack (17-14) on Tuesday, March 12th. This game will be played at Capital One Arena in Washington and televised on ACCN. Both Louisville and North Carolina State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:30 ET.

Louisville Cardinals vs North Carolina State Wolfpack

The Louisville Cardinals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Coming off a 67-61 loss to Boston College, Louisville will be looking to end their seven-game losing streak. The Cardinals have gone 8-23 this season, including a 3-17 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play.

On the road this year, Louisville has gone just 1-10, and they have lost their last seven games away from home. For the season, the Cardinals have an average scoring margin of -12.9 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Louisville has gone 9-12-1 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-6 and their last three road games have resulted in an 0-3 ATS record. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Cardinals are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is slightly higher than the average over/under line in Louisville’s games this season (147.8). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.

The North Carolina State Wolfpack Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

North Carolina State comes into this game having lost four straight games, and they are 17-14 overall. They have gone 9-11 in Atlantic Coast Conference play compared to 8-3 in non-conference games.

At home this season, the Wolfpack are 12-5, and they have gone 15-3 when favored. For the year, they have gone 5-9 on the road, and their average scoring margin at home is +8.6 points per game.

Against the spread, North Carolina State has gone 13-17-1 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 8-9 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

North Carolina State’s over/under record this season is 18-12-1 and today’s line of 148.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (147.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points, which is close to today’s line.

Louisville Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Louisville offense tallied 61 points in a matchup against Boston College. Their field goal percentage for the game was 33.3%, and they made 4 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Brandon Huntley-Hatfield, who is averaging 12.8 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Mike James also maintains a PPG average of 12.8 heading into game.

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (F) 12.8 8.5 0.9
Mike James (G) 12.8 5.1 1.5
Skyy Clark (G) 12.4 3.0 3.0

North Carolina State Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Wolfpack’s offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 75.5 points per contest. The team’s scoring leader is DJ Horne, who holds an average of 16.8 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jayden Taylor is averaging 12.4 points per game this season.

DJ Horne (G) 16.8 3.2 2.2
Jayden Taylor (G) 12.4 3.7 1.3
D.J. Burns (F) 12.0 4.0 2.6

Louisville Team Defense

Facing North Carolina State, Louisville aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 78.6 points allowed per game (311st). In their previous game vs. Boston College, the Eagles finished with a field goal percentage of 33% and a total of 67 points vs. Louisville.

North Carolina State Team Defense

The Wolfpack’s defense is presently ranked 193rd nationally, allowing an average of 72.8 points per contest. Against Pittsburgh, the Wolfpack’s defense gave up 81 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Pittsburgh only made 9 free-throws.

Cardinals vs Wolfpack Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Louisville has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 70 points per game.
  • Although North Carolina State has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-5-1. The team averaged 71 points per game in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Cardinals have a straight up record of 1-9. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
  • The last three games that North Carolina State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Cardinals vs Wolfpack Prediction

In this Wolfpack vs. Wolfpack matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Wolfpack at -9.5. While we project the Wolfpack to win 74-69, our recommendation is to bet on the Cardinals for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 148.5, and our model predicts the Cardinals and Wolfpack to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.