Louisville Cardinals vs. Virginia Cavaliers - NCAAB Betting prediction

Louisville Cardinals vs Virginia Prediction 1/3/2024

The Louisville Cardinals (5-7) travel to face off against the Virginia Cavaliers (10-3) on Wednesday, January 3rd. This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville and televised on ESPN. Both Louisville and Virginia will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Louisville Cardinals vs Virginia Cavaliers

The Louisville Cardinals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Louisville has a 5-7 record this year, having played in 12 games. In their two road games, the Cardinals are 0-2, but they have a 5-5 record when playing at home. Analyzing Louisville’s ATS performance, they currently hold a 4-6-2 record. Specifically, the Cardinals are 1-1 ATS on the road and 3-5-2 vs. the spread in home games.

So far, Louisville’s games have averaged 150 points per game with the average over/under line being 146.7 points. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last three games, with their games averaging 151 points per game.

The Virginia Cavaliers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Virginia, who sit at 10-3, will face Louisville in their 14th game. Thus far, the Cavaliers are 0-3 on the road, while boasting a perfect 10-0 record at home. Prior to today’s game, Virginia holds a 7-6 ATS record. Over their last five games, the team has gone 2-3 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Virginia have had an average of 121.9 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 126.7 points. Their over/under record is 5-8-0. The Cavaliers’ last five games have finished with a combined 123 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

Louisville Offense Breakdown

The Louisville offense is coming off a game in which they scored 76 points vs. Kentucky. Overall their field goal percentage was 42.4% while connecting on 4 threes. Coming into the game, the Cardinals offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 28%. On average, they get up 18.2 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 19 made free-throws.

Skyy Clark (G) 15.8 2.8 2.7
Tre White (G) 12.7 6.1 1.8
Mike James (G) 12.3 6.2 1.4

Virginia Offense Breakdown

The Virginia offense is coming off a game where they scored 54 points against Notre Dame. They posted a field goal percentage of 38.2% and connected on 2 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Cavaliers offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 18.1 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

Reece Beekman (G) 13.1 3.4 5.5
Isaac McKneely (G) 10.8 3.0 1.8
Ryan Dunn (G) 9.3 6.7 0.9

Louisville Team Defense

The Cardinals’ defense is presently ranked 224th nationally, allowing an average of 75.4 points per contest. Against Kentucky in their most recent game, the Louisville defense gave up a total of 95 points while allowing Kentucky to hit 42% of their shots.

Virginia Team Defense

The Cavaliers’ defense is presently ranked 2nd nationally, allowing an average of 56.2 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Virginia defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Notre Dame knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 76 points.

Cardinals vs Cavaliers Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Cardinals offense has averaged 65 points per game while allowing an average of 80. Louisville posted an overall record of 0-10 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Virginia has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 49 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Cardinals have an ATS mark of just 2-2-1 in their last five games. Louisville posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Cavaliers have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Cardinals vs Cavaliers Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Cavaliers vs. Cardinals matchup, our bet is to grab the Cardinals at +14. Even though our projections have the Cavaliers winning 75-68, we see the Cardinals as the play on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 127.5, and our model projects the Cardinals and Cavaliers to reach a combined total of 143 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.