Maryland Terrapins vs Northwestern Wildcats NCAAB Betting prediction

Maryland Terrapins vs Northwestern Prediction 1/17/2024

The Maryland Terrapins (11-6) travel to face off against the Northwestern Wildcats (12-4) on Wednesday, January 17th. This game will be played at Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston and televised on BTN. Maryland is coming off a win in their previous game, while Northwestern is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Wisconsin. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Maryland Terrapins vs Northwestern Wildcats

The Maryland Terrapins Are Coming Off A Win

So far this season, Maryland has been much better at home, going 9-2 compared to 2-4 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +13.0, compared to -2.8 on the road. They have been the favorite in 11 of their 17 games, going 9-2 in those contests.

Recently, the Terrapins have won two straight games, and they are 2-1 in their last three road games. Their overall record this season is 11-6, and they are 3-3 in Big Ten play. In their last game, Maryland defeated Illinois, 76-67.

As the underdog this season, Maryland is 2-4 against the spread. On the road, the Terrapins have gone 2-4 ATS this year and 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. Overall, Maryland is 6-11 vs. the spread this season.

Today’s over/under line of 128.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Maryland’s games this season of 136.3. So far, 9 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points and their OU record in their last 10 games is 3-7.

The Northwestern Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Northwestern comes into this game with a 12-4 record, including a 3-2 record in Big Ten play. They have been dominant at home this season, going 10-1, and they have won three straight games at home. Overall, they have been favored in 11 of their 16 games, going 10-1 in those games.

In their most recent game, the Wildcats lost to Wisconsin by a score of 71-63. Over their last 10 games, Northwestern has gone 9-1 at home, and they are 4-1 in their last five games at home.

Overall, Northwestern has gone 7-7-2 against the spread this season. At home, they are 6-4-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats have gone 5-3-2 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Northwestern stands at 9-7. The average scoring total in their games is currently 139.9 points, which is 3.8 points higher than the average over/under line of 136.1. Today’s over/under line of 128.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.

Maryland Offense Breakdown

The Maryland offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against Illinois. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.2% and connected on 4 threes. The team’s top scorer is Jahmir Young, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 19.9, while Julian Reese also maintains a PPG average of 13.8 leading up to the game.

Jahmir Young (G) 19.9 4.4 4.0
Julian Reese (F) 13.8 9.8 1.0
Donta Scott (F) 10.7 5.0 0.8

Northwestern Offense Breakdown

The Northwestern offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 63 points versus Wisconsin. During the game, they attempted 21 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 42.6%. Leading Northwestern in scoring vs. Wisconsin was Boo Buie with his 22 points. Brooks Barnhizer also added 13 points for the Wildcats.

Boo Buie (G) 18.3 3.6 4.8
Brooks Barnhizer (G) 13.8 6.8 2.6
Ty Berry (G) 11.7 3.9 1.2

Maryland Team Defense

So far, the Terrapins’ defense is ranked 24th in the country at 63.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Maryland’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 40.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.8% this season.

Northwestern Team Defense

This season, the Northwestern defense has been impressive, holding the 71st position in the country while permitting an average of 66.9 points per contest. Northwestern’s three-point defense is currently 126th in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 44.1% of their shots vs. Northwestern.

Terrapins vs Wildcats Trends

  • Maryland has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 69 points per game while allowing 64. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Northwestern has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 63 points per game.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Terrapins have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • The last ten games that Northwestern was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-3-2 while going 9-1 straight up.

Terrapins vs Wildcats Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Wildcats to win, and have the projected score sitting at 76-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Wildcats at -3.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 128.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.