Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB Betting Prediction

Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Prediction 3/10/2024

The Maryland Terrapins (15-15) travel to face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (14-16) on Sunday, March 10th. This game will be played at Bryce Jordan Center in University Park and televised on BTN. Both Maryland and Penn State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Nittany Lions

The Maryland Terrapins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

On the season, Maryland has a record of 15-15, including a 7-12 mark in Big Ten play. Their average scoring margin on the road is -1.5 points per game, and they have gone 4-8 away from home.

As the underdog, the Terrapins have a record of 4-9 this season. In their last game, they lost to Indiana by a score of 83-78.

As the underdog, Maryland has gone 6-7 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-6 and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Overall, the Terps have an ATS record of 12-18 this year.

Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Maryland’s games this season (135.9). This year, 26 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points compared to their season average of 134.6 points per game.

The Penn State Nittany Lions Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing their last two games, Penn State will look to get back on track against Maryland as a two-point favorite. The Nittany Lions have been much better at home this season, going 12-5 compared to 2-11 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +8.4 points per game.

Overall, Penn State is 14-16 this season, including an 8-11 mark in Big Ten play. They have been the favorite in 11 games, going 7-4 in those contests. In their last game, they lost to Minnesota by a score of 75-70.

As the favorite this season, Penn State has gone just 4-7 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS mark is 9-8. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Nittany Lions are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Penn State games is 18-11-1. So far, the average point total in their games is 150.1. Today’s over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (147.4). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 157 points.

Maryland Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Maryland offense ended with 78 points against Indiana. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.4% and made 9 threes. Offensively, the Terrapins have a season long field goal percentage of 41%, which is 358th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 391st in percentage and 313rd in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Jahmir Young (G) 20.9 4.8 4.2
Julian Reese (F) 13.9 9.7 1.2
Donta Scott (F) 11.4 4.8 1.1

Penn State Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Penn State offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against Minnesota. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.6%, and they made 11 threes. The top scorer for the Nittany Lions was Puff Johnson with 19 points, while Adrian Baldwin Jr also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Name PPG REB AST
Adrian Baldwin Jr (G) 14.2 2.4 5.9
Kanye Clary (G) 16.7 2.9 2.8
Qudus Wahab (F) 9.5 7.5 0.5

Maryland Team Defense

At this time, the Terrapins’ defense is positioned 21st in the country, permitting 65.0 points per game. Maryland’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Indiana offense to knock down 48% of their shots on their way to putting up 83 points.

Penn State Team Defense

So far, the Nittany Lions’ defense is ranked 240th in the country at 74.5 points per contest. So far, the Penn State defense is giving up an average of 9.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.5 times per game (459th).

Terrapins vs Nittany Lions Trends

  • Maryland has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 66 points per game while allowing 65. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • In their last three games at home, the Nittany Lions have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-1-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 66 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Maryland has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Nittany Lions have an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 against the spread.

Terrapins vs Nittany Lions Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Nittany Lions, with a final score of 76-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Nittany Lions at -2.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 142.5 and our model has the Terrapins and Nittany Lions finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.