maryland vs illinois ncaab betting prediction

Maryland vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction 1/14/2024

The Maryland Terrapins (10-6) travel to face off against the Illinois Fighting Illini (12-3) on Sunday, January 14th. This game will be played at State Farm Center in Champaign and televised on BTN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Maryland Terrapins vs Illinois Fighting Illini

The Maryland Terrapins Are Coming Off A Win

Even though Maryland has a losing record on the road this season, they are 9-2 when favored, which they are not in this game. The Terrapins are 1-4 on the road this season, and they have gone 1-9 in their last 10 games away from home.

Coming off a 64-57 win over Michigan, Maryland has gone 1-2 in their last three road games. Overall, they are 10-6 this season, and they have gone 2-3 in Big Ten play.

As the underdog this season, Maryland has gone just 1-4 against the spread and their overall ATS mark for the year is 5-11. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Terrapins have gone 3-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Maryland games is 4-12. Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (136.2). This year, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3.

The Illinois Fighting Illini Are Coming Off A Win

Illinois comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 11 of their 15 games this season. So far, they have gone 10-1 as the favorite, and they are 10-1 at home this season.

Overall, the Fighting Illini have gone 12-3, including a 3-1 record in Big Ten play. They have won their last eight games at home, and their average scoring margin at home this year is +18.8 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Illinois has gone 5-5-1 vs. the spread. At home, the Illini have a 5-5-1 ATS mark and over their last 10 games as the favorite, Illinois is 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Illinois games is 8-7 and the average over/under line in their games is 147.1. Today’s line of 138.5 is lower than that average. So far, 6 of their games have finished with less than 138.5 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

Maryland Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Maryland offense concluded with only 64 points against Michigan. Throughout the game, they made 7/21 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 40.8%. Offensively, the Terrapins hold a season-long field goal percentage of 40%, placing them 362nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 389th in terms of percentage and 300th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Jahmir Young (G) 19.3 4.5 3.7
Julian Reese (F) 13.4 9.7 0.9
Donta Scott (F) 10.8 5.0 0.8

Illinois Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Illinois offense tallied 71 points in a matchup against Michigan State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.8%, and they made 7 threes. Terrence Shannon Jr. is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 21.7. Meanwhile, Marcus Domask also brings a PPG average of 14.1 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Terrence Shannon Jr. (G) 21.7 4.5 2.5
Marcus Domask (F) 14.1 4.6 3.3
Quincy Guerrier (F) 11.4 7.5 0.3

Maryland Team Defense

Currently, the Terrapins’ defense holds the 22nd rank in the nation, allowing 63.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.2 threes per game vs. Illinois. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.1%.

Illinois Team Defense

Illinois’ defense has been playing well, ranking 80th nationally, with 66.9 points allowed per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.3 threes per game vs. Maryland. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.5%.

Terrapins vs Fighting Illini Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Maryland has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 61 points per game.
  • Across their last five home contests, Illinois has a 3-1-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 78 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Terrapins have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Maryland posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Fighting Illini have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Terrapins vs Fighting Illini Prediction

In this Fighting Illini vs. Fighting Illini matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Fighting Illini at -8.5. While we project the Fighting Illini to win 75-69, our recommendation is to bet on the Terrapins for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 138.5 and our model has the Terrapins and Fighting Illini finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.