Liberty Bowl Prediction

Memphis vs Iowa State Liberty Bowl Prediction 12/29/2023

The Memphis Tigers (9-3) face off against the Iowa State Cyclones (7-5) on Friday, December 29th. This game will be played at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Memphis Tigers vs Iowa State Cyclones

The Memphis Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, Memphis matched up with Temple and came out on top with a 45-21 win. Heading into the 4th quarter of the game, Memphis held a 13-point lead. Against Temple, Seth Henigan threw for 250 yards on a completion percentage of 64.3%. In the win, he threw four touchdowns and had a passer rating of 117.56.

Heading into the game Memphis was the betting favorite at 14 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 66 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

This season, the Memphis Tigers are currently 9-3. So far this season, they have played four road games and six at home.

Against the spread, Memphis has gone 4-5-1 this season. The Tigers have been favored seven times compared to three games as the underdog. So far this season, Memphis boasts an over/under record of 8-2. On average, their matchups have resulted in a combined score of 68.7 points, while the average over/under line has been 59 points.

The Iowa State Cyclones Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, Iowa State matched up against Kansas State and won by a score of 42-35. In the win against Kansas State, quarterback Rocco Becht achieved a QB rating of 149.31, completing 8 of 12 passes for 230 yards. Additionally, he contributed three touchdowns to the game.

Going into the game, Iowa State was the underdog at +10, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The over hit in this matchup as the line was 45.5 pre-game.

So far, the Iowa State Cyclones are 7-5, including going 4-2 on the road and 2-3 at home.

So far, Iowa State has been favored five times and the underdog in six games. This has led to an ATS record of 6-5 and an average scoring differential of +4.6. After 12 games, the average over/under line in Iowa State’s matches stands at 44.5 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 47.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 5-6.

Memphis Offense Breakdown

The Tigers’ heads into the game, averaging 152 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Overall, they’re 73rd in rushing yards and 73rd in passing yards at 301.4 yards per contest. Memphis is averaging 39.7 points per game, which is 11th in the nation.

Seth Henigan leads the team in passing yards this season with 3516. He’s averaged 12 per completion and holds a 66.4% completion rate, having thrown 28 touchdowns.

Iowa State Offense Breakdown

Iowa State’s rushing attack is ranked 88th in college football with 352 rushing attempts per game. This has translated into an average of 133.4 rushing yards per game, placing them 94th nationally. On average, they are attempting 28.4 passes per game leading to 228.2 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 61st position, averaging 26.2 points per game.

Rocco Becht is the top passer for the team this season, with 2674 yards and an average of 12.8 per completion. His completion rate is 63.5%, and he’s thrown 20 touchdowns.

Memphis Team Defense

On defense, the Tigers defense has 21 sacks and are 1st in QB hurries. So far, teams are scoring 29 points per game against them (121st). In terms of pass defense, they’re ranked 145th in the NCAA, allowing 253.2 passing yards per game. Moreover, Memphis’ run defense is allowing 172.3 rushing yards per contest.

Iowa State Team Defense

So far this season, the Cyclones’ defense has given up 132.9 rushing yards per game against the run (164th). Opponents are averaging 217.7 passing yards and opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 72.2 against Iowa State. In terms of points allowed, they are 78th in the NCAA.

Memphis vs Iowa State Trends

  • On the road, Memphis has gone 7-3 vs. the spread.
  • Iowa State’s ATS record at home (last ten) is 5-5.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Iowa State has put together an ATS record of 3-2.
  • The previous ten time that Memphis was favored, they are 4-5-1 against the spread.

Memphis vs Iowa State Prediction

In this game, I’m favoring Memphis to cover the spread as 7-point underdogs. Memphis showcased an effective ground game in their last matchup with Kansas State, and I anticipate a similar performance this week. I’m locking in my bet on Memphis before the kickoff.

Games featuring Memphis this season have averaged 68.7 points in total. Considering the over/under line at 57.5, I’m backing the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.