Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAB Betting Prediction

Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs North Carolina Prediction 2/26/2024

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (15-13) travel to face off against the North Carolina Tar Heels (21-6) on Monday, February 26th. This game will be played at Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill and televised on ESPN. North Carolina is coming off a win in their previous game, while Miami (FL) is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Georgia Tech. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Entering today, Miami (FL) is 15-13 overall and has lost six straight games. They are 6-11 in Atlantic Coast Conference action and have gone 9-2 outside of the conference. On the road, the Hurricanes are just 2-8, compared to 13-5 at home.

Today, Miami (FL) is a 14-point underdog, and they have gone 2-9 in 11 games as the underdog. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -9.3 points per game, and they have lost four straight games on the road.

As the underdog, Miami (FL) has struggled against the spread this season, going just 4-6-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-6-1 and they are 0-3 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. Overall, the Hurricanes’ ATS record is 13-13-2.

This season, the over/under record for Miami (FL) games is 13-15, and today’s over/under line of 154.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (152.7). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line, including two of their last three games.

The North Carolina Tar Heels Are Coming Off A Win

North Carolina has been dominant at home this season, going 13-2 with an average scoring margin of +16.8 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Tar Heels have gone 9-1.

So far this season, North Carolina has been favored in 25 of their 27 games, going 20-5 in those contests. They are coming off a 54-44 win over Virginia.

As the favorite, North Carolina has an ATS record of 15-10 this season, and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games. Overall, the Tar Heels have gone 9-6 vs. the spread at home this year, and their ATS mark in their last 10 home games is 7-3.

On the season, the over/under record in North Carolina games is 14-13. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 153.1 and the average scoring total is 152.2. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 146 points.

Miami (FL) Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Hurricanes’ offense tallied 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 77 points per game. Offensively, the Hurricanes hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 125th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 67th in terms of percentage and 42nd in three-pointers made.

Norchad Omier (F) 17.1 9.6 1.3
Wooga Poplar (G) 13.7 4.9 2.1
Matthew Cleveland (G) 13.8 5.8 1.7

North Carolina Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the North Carolina offense tallied 54 points in a matchup against Virginia. Their field goal percentage for the game was 32%, and they made 7 threes. Cormac Ryan led the team in scoring, putting up 18 points. Additionally, RJ Davis contributed 12 points for the Tar Heels.

RJ Davis (G) 21.0 3.6 3.5
Armando Bacot (F) 14.4 10.4 1.6
Harrison Ingram (F) 12.3 9.1 2.2

Miami (FL) Team Defense

In terms of defense, Miami (FL) is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 73.2 points per game. Against Georgia Tech, the Hurricanes’ defense gave up 80 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Georgia Tech only made 5 free-throws.

North Carolina Team Defense

The Tar Heels’ defense is presently ranked 133rd nationally, allowing an average of 70.4 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. Miami (FL). This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.2%.

Hurricanes vs Tar Heels Trends

  • Across the Hurricanes last three road games, the team averaged 58 points per game while allowing 74. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • Through their last ten home games, North Carolina has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 71 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Hurricanes have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, North Carolina has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.

Hurricanes vs Tar Heels Prediction

In this Tar Heels vs. Tar Heels matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Tar Heels at -14. While we project the Tar Heels to win 74-69, our recommendation is to bet on the Hurricanes for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 154.5 and our model has the Hurricanes and Tar Heels finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.