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Miami (OH) vs Appalachian State Cure Bowl Prediction 12/16

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (11-2) face off against the Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-5) on Saturday, December 16th. This game will be played at FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando and televised on ABC. Miami (OH) is coming off a win in their previous game, while Appalachian State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Troy. Kickoff is set for 3:30 ET.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Appalachian State Mountaineers

The Miami (OH) RedHawks Are Coming Off A Win

The RedHawks’ most recent game came against Toledo and led to them picking up a 23-14 win. In the win against Toledo, Aveon Smith threw for 109 yards on 6 of 16 passing. His overall passer rating was 61.72 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Combining for 37 points, the under hit in this matchup with a line of 43. Miami (OH) covered the spread, as they were 6.5-point underdogs going into the game.

The Miami (OH) RedHawks take on the Appalachian State with a 11-2 record, including 6-1 on the road and 4-1 at home.

Miami (OH)’s average scoring differential for the season is +10.8 leading to an ATS mark of 9-3. The RedHawks have been favored eight times and the underdog in four games Miami (OH) has an over/under record of 4-8 so far this season. On average their games have combined for 43.1 points with the average over/under line being 42.9 points.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Appalachian State will be looking to rebound from a 49-23 loss to Troy. Heading into the fourth quarter, Appalachian State trailed by a score of 21-17. In the loss against Troy, Joey Aguilar threw for 275 yards on 28 of 39 passing. His overall passer rating was 91.29 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Looking at the over/under in this matchup, the line was 53 and with their 72 points, the over hit. Against the spread, Appalachian State went into the game as 5.5-point underdogs giving them an ATS and straight-up loss.

With a 8-5 record, the Appalachian State Mountaineers take on Miami (OH). Their road record so far is (2-3) and at home (4-1).

Appalachian State’s average scoring differential for the season is +6.4 leading to an ATS mark of 4-5-1. The Mountaineers have been favored seven times and the underdog in three games Through 13 games, the average over/under line in Appalachian State’s games is 55.4 points. Their games have averaged a combined 63.2 points leading to an OU record of 5-5.

Miami (OH) Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. Appalachian State, the RedHawks’ offense is averaging 158.3 rushing yards per game, along with 4 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 57th rank in rushing yards and 103rd rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 174.8 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Miami (OH) is at 26.9 points per game, which is 49th in the NCAA.

So far, Brett Gabbert has thrown for 1634 yards this season while averaging 14.7 per completion. His completion percentage this year is 59% and he has thrown 14 touchdowns.

Appalachian State Offense Breakdown

As they prepare to face the Miami (OH), the Mountaineers’ offense is averaging 174.2 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 30th in rushing yards and 15th in passing yards, on an average of 278.4 yards per matchup. Appalachian State has averaged 34.8 points per game so far. This figure places them 16th in the nation.

With 3546 passing yards and a completion percentage of 64.3%, quarterback Joey Aguilar leads the team in passing. His average yards per pass attempt stands at 8.3.

Miami (OH) Team Defense

Coming into their matchup vs. Appalachian State, the Miami (OH) defense is 55th in points allowed, giving up 16.2 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 197.2 passing yards per game against them (46th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 129.5 rushing yards, which ranks them 48th in college football.

Appalachian State Team Defense

The Mountaineers defense will take the field with 33 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 28.4 points per game (131st). Against the pass, the team is 72nd in the NCAA, allowing 213.1 passing yards per game. Additionally, Appalachian State’s run defense has 177.8 rushing yards per contest.

Miami (OH) vs Appalachian State Trends

  • On the road, Miami (OH) has gone 8-2 vs. the spread.
  • At home, Appalachian State has gone 2-1 against the spread (last three).
  • In the ten most recent times they were the underdog, Appalachian State has put together an ATS record of 7-2-1.
  • Miami (OH) is 8-2 in their last ten games as the favorite.

Miami (OH) vs Appalachian State Prediction

So far, turnovers have been a problem in the passing game for Appalachian State. Coming in as the away underdogs, I like Miami (OH) to cover the spread at +4.5.

After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 49 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 48.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.