Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Prediction 3/10/2024

The Michigan State Spartans (18-12) travel to face off against the Indiana Hoosiers (17-13) on Sunday, March 10th. This game will be played at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall in Bloomington and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 4:30 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers

The Michigan State Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan State is 16-7 as the favorite this season, and they have gone 3-6 on the road compared to 15-6 at home. The Spartans have a scoring differential of -3.1 points per game on the road, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three games away from home.

Overall, Michigan State has gone 18-12 this season, including a 10-9 mark in Big Ten play. In their most recent game, the Spartans defeated Northwestern by a score of 53-49.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 17-13 this season and they are 13-10 vs. the spread when favored. Their ATS record on the road is 5-4 and their last 3 road ATS mark is 3-0. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Michigan State’s over/under record for the season is 13-17 and today’s line of 141.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (141.9). The average scoring total in their games this season is 139.6 points per game. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 124 points. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 141.5.

The Indiana Hoosiers Are Coming Off A Win

Despite being the underdog, Indiana has been the favorite in 14 of their 30 games this season. They have gone 11-3 in those games, compared to 6-10 when they are the underdog.

Indiana comes into this game on a three-game winning streak, and they are 17-13 overall. At home, the Hoosiers are 12-6 this season, including a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.

As the underdog, Indiana has a solid 9-7 record vs. the spread this season. At home, their ATS mark is 9-9. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hoosiers are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Indiana’s games this season (145.6). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 143 points.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Michigan State offense put up just 53 points vs. the Northwestern Wildcats. Overall, they are now averaging 73.7 points per game which is 203rd in the country. Offensively, the Spartans have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 102nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 102nd in percentage and 276th in three-pointers made.

Tyson Walker (G) 18.0 2.9 3.0
Malik Hall (F) 12.9 5.7 2.1
A.J Hoggard (G) 10.9 3.1 5.0

Indiana Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Hoosiers’ offense concluded with 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.1 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Hoosiers have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, ranking 48th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 294th in terms of percentage and 351st in three-pointers made.

Malik Reneau (F) 15.7 6.0 2.6
Kel’el Ware (C) 15.7 9.7 1.5
Mackenzie Mgbako (F) 12.1 3.9 1.3

Michigan State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Michigan State defense is giving up an average of 65.9 points per contest. In today’s game, the Michigan State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 2 three-pointers while giving up 49 points.

Indiana Team Defense

The Hoosiers’ defense is presently ranked 241st nationally, allowing an average of 74.5 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Indiana’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.5% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.5% this season.

Spartans vs Hoosiers Trends

  • In their last five road games, Michigan State has averaged 69 points per game while allowing 71. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • The Hoosiers are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Hoosiers have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Spartans have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Spartans vs Hoosiers Prediction

The Hoosiers come in as the underdog at +3.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 141.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.