Michigan State Spartans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State Spartans vs Minnesota Prediction 2/6/2024

The Michigan State Spartans (14-8) travel to face off against the Minnesota Golden Gophers (14-7) on Tuesday, February 6th. This game will be played at Williams Arena in Minneapolis and televised on PEAC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

The Michigan State Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan State heads into this game with a record of 14-8 and has won two straight games. They are 6-5 in Big Ten play compared to an 8-3 non-conference record. On the road, the Spartans are just 1-4, and their average scoring margin is -7.4.

Coming into this game, Michigan State is favored by 3.5 points. On the season, they have been favored in 16 games and have gone 12-4 in those matchups. Their most recent game was a 63-54 win over Maryland.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 13-9 this season and they are 10-6 vs. the spread when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans have gone 7-3 vs. the spread. On the road, Michigan State has an ATS mark of 2-3 this year and they are 4-6 vs. the spread in their last 10 road contests.

Today’s over/under line of 138 is lower than the average over/under line in Michigan State’s games this season (141.4). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 135 points.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers Are Coming Off A Win

Minnesota enters this game as a 3.5-point underdog, and they have gone 3-6 this season when considered the underdog. They are coming off an 83-74 win over Penn State, and they have gone 11-3 at home this season.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Golden Gophers have gone 8-2, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five games at home. So far this season, they have an average scoring margin of +14.6 points per game at home.

As the underdog this season, Minnesota has gone 6-3 vs. the spread, and they have an overall ATS record of 15-4-1. At home, the Golden Gophers have an ATS mark of 11-2-1, and they have gone 9-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games. As the underdog, Minnesota is 7-3 ATS over their last 10 games.

This season, the over/under record in Minnesota games is 10-10. The average over/under line in their games is 143.8 and today’s line of 138 is lower than that. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 139 points.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 75.4 points per game, the Michigan State had a below average performance. They scored 63 points against Maryland and had a field goal percentage of 44.4%. Offensively, the Spartans hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 72nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 108th in terms of percentage and 250th in three-pointers made.

Tyson Walker (G) 18.9 2.6 3.0
Malik Hall (F) 11.6 5.0 2.1
A.J Hoggard (G) 11.5 3.3 5.2

Minnesota Offense Breakdown

Minnesota is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 83 points versus Penn State. This output is higher than their season-average of 76.5 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Dawson Garcia, who holds an average of 17.7 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Mike Mitchell Jr. is averaging 10.3 points per game this season.

Dawson Garcia (F) 17.7 6.7 1.9
Mike Mitchell Jr. (G) 10.3 2.8 2.9
Cam Christie (G) 10.7 3.6 2.2

Michigan State Team Defense

At this time, the Spartans’ defense is positioned 37th in the country, permitting 65.3 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.5 threes per game vs. Minnesota. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.4%.

Minnesota Team Defense

Currently, the Golden Gophers’ defense holds the 86th rank in the nation, allowing 68.2 points per game. Against Penn State in their most recent game, the Minnesota defense gave up a total of 74 points while allowing Penn State to hit 45% of their shots.

Spartans vs Golden Gophers Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Michigan State has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 67 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • Although Minnesota has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 68 points per game in these games.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Golden Gophers have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
  • The Spartans have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Spartans vs Golden Gophers Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +3.5, the Golden Gophers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 138 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.