The Michigan State Spartans (15-9) travel to face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (12-12) on Wednesday, February 14th. This game will be played at Bryce Jordan Center in University Park and televised on BTN. Michigan State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Penn State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Northwestern. Tip-off is set for 6:30 ET.
Michigan State Spartans vs Penn State Nittany Lions
The Michigan State Spartans Are Coming Off A Win
Michigan State will look to improve on their 1-5 road record when they take on Penn State as 4-point favorites. So far, the Spartans have gone 13-5 when favored and have gone 3-7 in their last 10 games on the road.
After defeating Illinois by a score of 88-80, Michigan State’s record now stands at 15-9. They have gone 7-6 in Big Ten play and 8-3 in non-conference action.
Michigan State has an ATS record of 14-10 this season and they are 11-7 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Spartans have gone 2-4 ATS this year and their last 10 road ATS mark is 4-6.
The over/under record for Michigan State this season is 11-13, and today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games of 141.5. So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points.
The Penn State Nittany Lions Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
At home this season, Penn State has been fantastic, going 10-4 compared to 2-8 on the road. In fact, the Nittany Lions have outscored opponents by an average of 10.0 points per game at home, compared to -7.6 on the road.
Overall, Penn State has gone 12-12 this season, including a 6-7 mark in Big Ten play. As the underdog, the Nittany Lions are 6-8 compared to 6-4 as the favorite. Their record in the last 10 games at home is 6-4.
As the underdog this season, Penn State has gone 9-5 against the spread. At home, their ATS record is 7-7. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Nittany Lions are 7-3 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Penn State games is 14-9-1 and today’s line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (146.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points and in their last five games, the average is 143 points. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line of 145.5.
Michigan State Offense Breakdown
Michigan State’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 88 points against Illinois. They had an overall field goal percentage of 52.7% and made 25/34 free throws. For the season, the Michigan State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 52% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.7 made three’s per contest.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Walker (G) | 19.0 | 2.6 | 3.0 |
| Malik Hall (F) | 11.8 | 5.0 | 2.0 |
| A.J Hoggard (G) | 11.7 | 3.2 | 5.2 |
Penn State Offense Breakdown
The Penn State offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 63 points versus Northwestern. During the game, they attempted 19 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 43.8%. Kanye Clary is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.1 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Adrian Baldwin Jr brings a PPG average of 14.1 into the game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye Clary (G) | 17.1 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Adrian Baldwin Jr (G) | 14.1 | 2.2 | 5.4 |
| Qudus Wahab (F) | 9.4 | 7.8 | 0.5 |
Michigan State Team Defense
So far, the Spartans’ defense is ranked 37th in the country at 65.6 points per contest. The Michigan State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 80 points and allowed Illinois to connect on 5 threes.
Penn State Team Defense
So far, the Nittany Lions’ defense is ranked 202nd in the country at 73.3 points per contest. Penn State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Northwestern to just 31% shooting in their most recent game.
Spartans vs Nittany Lions Trends
- Although Michigan State has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 74 points per game in these games.
- Although Penn State has a straight up record of 2-8 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 71 points per game in these games.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Penn State has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
- The last ten games that Michigan State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 8-2 straight up.
Spartans vs Nittany Lions Prediction
As the underdogs with a spread of +4, we recommend going with the Nittany Lions on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 145.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 14, 2024 Michigan State Spartans, Penn State Nittany Lions