Michigan State Spartans vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State Spartans vs Purdue Prediction 3/2/2024

The Michigan State Spartans (17-11) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (25-3) on Saturday, March 2nd. This game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and televised on FOX. Purdue is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Ohio State. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Michigan State Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State is coming off a 60-57 loss to Ohio State and has lost two in a row. They are 17-11 overall and 9-8 in Big Ten play. So far, they have gone 8-3 in non-conference action.

On the road, the Spartans have gone 3-5 this season, and they have an average scoring margin of -2.8 points per game. Currently, they are on a two-game winning streak away from home.

As the underdog this season, Michigan State has gone 3-3 against the spread. On the road, the Spartans are 4-4 vs. the spread this year and 5-5 in their last 10 road games. Their overall ATS record this season is 16-12.

This season, the over/under record in Michigan State games is 12-16 and today’s line of 145.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their OU record in their past 10 games is 3-7.

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

With a 17-0 record at home this season, the Boilermakers have been dominant in their own building. In their last 10 games at home, they have gone a perfect 10-0.

Purdue has been the favorite in 27 of their 28 games this season, and they have gone 24-3 in those games. Overall, they are 25-3 on the year.

As the favorite this season, Purdue has gone 14-11-2 vs. the spread and their home ATS record is 10-6-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers are 5-5 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Purdue’s games this season (147.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and their average scoring total in those games is 155 points.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Michigan State offense tallied 57 points in a matchup against Ohio State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 40%, and they made 4 threes. For the season, the Michigan State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 51% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.5 made three’s per contest.

Tyson Walker (G) 18.1 2.7 2.9
Malik Hall (F) 12.9 5.4 2.1
A.J Hoggard (G) 11.2 3.1 5.0

Purdue Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Purdue offense tallied 84 points in a matchup against Michigan. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.1%, and they made 7 threes. Zach Edey is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 23.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Lance Jones brings a PPG average of 13 into the game.

Zach Edey (C) 23.7 11.8 1.8
Lance Jones (G) 13.0 2.8 2.2
Braden Smith (G) 12.7 5.8 7.2

Michigan State Team Defense

The Spartans’ defense is presently ranked 37th nationally, allowing an average of 66.0 points per contest. In today’s game, the Michigan State defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 4 three-pointers while giving up 60 points.

Purdue Team Defense

So far, the Boilermakers’ defense is ranked 115th in the country at 70.1 points per contest. Against Michigan, the Boilermakers’ defense gave up 76 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Michigan only made 9 free-throws.

Spartans vs Boilermakers Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Michigan State has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 71 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 4-5-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 77 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Spartans have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, Purdue has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 4-1.

Spartans vs Boilermakers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Boilermakers vs. Boilermakers game, our recommendation is to take the Boilermakers at -10. Despite our model showing the Boilermakers winning 75-69, we like Spartans as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 145.5, and our model predicts the Spartans and Boilermakers to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.