Michigan State vs Mississippi State NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State vs Mississippi State Prediction 3/21/2024

The Michigan State Spartans (18-13) travel to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-12) on Thursday, March 21st. This game will be played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte and televised on CBS. Both Michigan State and Mississippi State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:15 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Michigan State Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State heads into this game as the favorite, something they have been 25 times this season, and they have gone 17-8 in those games. The Spartans are coming off a tough 67-62 loss to Purdue, and they are just 3-7 in their last 10 road games.

On the season, Michigan State is 18-13, and they have gone 3-9 on the road compared to 16-6 at home. For the year, their average scoring margin on the road is -3.2 points per game.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 20-14 this season and a mark of 7-5 vs. the spread on the road. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Michigan State games is 14-20 and today’s over/under line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (141.8). The average scoring total in their games this year is 138.8 points and their last three games have averaged 133 points.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Mississippi State is 13-4 at home this season, and they will look to snap their two-game losing streak at home. The Bulldogs are 4-7 as the underdog this season, and they are 19-12 overall.

Over their last 10 home games, the Bulldogs have gone 7-3, and they are 3-2 in their last five home games. In their most recent game, Mississippi State lost to Auburn by a score of 73-66.

As the underdog this season, Mississippi State has gone 5-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs have a 4-6 ATS mark. At home this year, Mississippi State is 8-8-1 vs. the spread and over their last 10 home games, their ATS record is 4-5-1.

This season, the over/under record for Mississippi State games is 15-19-1, and today’s over/under line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (141). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points, and during their last 10 games, the over/under record is 5-5.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

Against Purdue, the Michigan State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73.1 points per game. They scored 62 points and posted a field goal percentage of 39.3% in the game. For the season, the Michigan State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 46%. So far, they have hit 50% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.4 made three’s per contest.

Tyson Walker (G) 18.2 2.9 2.9
Malik Hall (F) 12.6 5.6 2.0
A.J Hoggard (G) 11.0 3.1 5.2

Mississippi State Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Mississippi State offense ended with 66 points against Auburn. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.1% and made 3 threes. Coming into the game, the Bulldogs offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 32%. On average, they get up 22.1 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 14.8 made free-throws.

Josh Hubbard (G) 17.1 2.1 1.7
Tolu Smith (F) 15.2 8.4 1.3
Cameron Matthews (F) 9.5 6.9 2.9

Michigan State Team Defense

In the current season, the Michigan State defense has excelled, sitting 31st in the nation by allowing 66.0 points per game. In today’s game vs. Mississippi State, the Michigan State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Michigan State made 18 free-throws vs. the Spartans.

Mississippi State Team Defense

The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 83rd nationally, allowing an average of 68.7 points per contest. Mississippi State’s three-point defense is currently 138th in the country at 7.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.3% of their shots vs. Mississippi State.

Spartans vs Bulldogs Trends

  • Across the Spartans last ten road games, the team averaged 67 points per game while allowing 70. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 3-7 straight-up.
  • In their last five home games, Mississippi State has averaged 68 points per game while allowing 68. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bulldogs have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Spartans have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Spartans vs Bulldogs Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Bulldogs is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 129.5, and our model predicts the Spartans and Bulldogs to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.