Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins NCAAB Betting prediction

Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Prediction 1/11/2024

The Michigan Wolverines (6-9) travel to face off against the Maryland Terrapins (9-6) on Thursday, January 11th. This game will be played at XFINITY Center in College Park and televised on FS1. Both Michigan and Maryland will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Michigan Wolverines vs Maryland Terrapins

The Michigan Wolverines Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan heads into this game with a 6-9 record, including a 1-3 mark in Big Ten play. The Wolverines have lost four straight games and are 2-2 on the road this season.

As the underdog, Michigan has gone 2-3 this season and is 4-6 in its last 10 road games. The Wolverines’ average scoring margin on the road this season is +4.2 points per game.

Michigan has struggled against the spread this season, posting a 4-10 record. However, their ATS mark improves to 7-3 in their last 10 road games. As the underdog, the Wolverines are 2-3 vs. the spread this year and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the dog.

So far this season, the over/under record for Michigan is 10-4. The average over/under line in their games is 150.6 and their games have averaged 160.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 140 is lower than their season average OU line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and their games have averaged 152 points in those matchups.

The Maryland Terrapins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing to Minnesota by a score of 65-62, Maryland enters this game with a 9-6 record. They are 1-3 in Big Ten play and 8-3 in non-conference games.

At home, the Terrapins have been dominant, going 8-2. Over their last 10 games at home, they are 8-2, and their average scoring margin at home is +13.6.

As the favorite this season, Maryland has gone just 3-7 against the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Terrapins are also 3-7 vs. the spread. At home this year, Maryland is 3-7 vs. the spread and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last 3 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 140 is higher than the average over/under line in Maryland’s games this season (135.9). So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is just 124 points.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 81.7 points per game, the Michigan had a below average performance. They scored 73 points against Penn State and had a field goal percentage of 50%. The top scorer for the Wolverines was Terrance Williams II with 24 points, while Olivier Nkamhoua also chipped in with 13 points.

Dug McDaniel (G) 17.8 4.1 5.1
Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 16.8 7.7 2.6
Terrance Williams II (F) 12.7 4.3 1.3

Maryland Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Maryland offense put up 62 points against Minnesota. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 38% and made 4 threes. Jahmir Young is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 19.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Julian Reese brings a PPG average of 13.3 into the game.

Jahmir Young (G) 19.9 4.5 3.6
Julian Reese (F) 13.3 9.5 0.9
Donta Scott (F) 10.1 5.1 0.9

Michigan Team Defense

Coming into the game, Michigan will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 78.7 points per game (277th). In today’s game vs. Maryland, the Michigan defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Michigan made 20 free-throws vs. the Wolverines.

Maryland Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Maryland defense is giving up an average of 63.7 points per contest. Maryland’s three-point defense is currently 33rd in the country at 5.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. Maryland.

Wolverines vs Terrapins Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Michigan has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 80 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Maryland has an ATS record of 2-8 while averaging 59 per game. The team went 1-9 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Michigan has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • Although the Terrapins have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Wolverines vs Terrapins Prediction

Not only do we have the Terrapins winning this one by a score of 76-68, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Terrapins at -4.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 140 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.