Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Prediction 3/13/2024

The Michigan Wolverines (8-23) travel to face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (15-16) on Wednesday, March 13th. This game will be played at Target Center in Minneapolis and televised on PEAC. Penn State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nebraska. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Nittany Lions

The Michigan Wolverines Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan enters this game as a 6.5-point underdog, and they have gone 3-15 as an underdog this season. They have lost eight games in a row and have gone 8-23 overall.

On the road, the Wolverines have gone 2-10, and their average margin of defeat is -13.1 points per game. Their last road win came 10 games ago, and they have gone 0-5 on the road over their last five games.

Against the spread, Michigan has struggled this season with a 7-23 record. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-10. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolverines have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Michigan games is 17-13, and today’s line of 150.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games of 148.7. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points, which is lower than the season average of 152.6. In their last 10 games, the OU record is 4-6.

The Penn State Nittany Lions Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into this game, Penn State is 13-5 at home, and they have a scoring margin of +8.8 points per game. They have won three straight games at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 7-3.

So far this season, the Nittany Lions have been favored in 11 of their games, and they have a record of 7-4 in those games. Overall, they are 15-16, and in Big Ten play, they are 9-11.

Overall, Penn State has an ATS record of 16-14-1 this season. At home, they are 10-8 vs. the spread. Over their last 3 home games, the Nittany Lions are 3-0 ATS and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 3-7 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Penn State games is 19-11-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 150.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is similar to the average OU line in their games this season (147.3). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 156 points.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Michigan offense put up 70 points against Nebraska. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.7% and made 9 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Dug McDaniel with 17 points. Terrance Williams II also added 14 points for the Wolverines.

Dug McDaniel (G) 16.6 3.8 4.6
Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 14.8 7.1 2.7
Terrance Williams II (F) 12.3 4.4 1.4

Penn State Offense Breakdown

Penn State’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 85 points against Maryland. They had an overall field goal percentage of 47.6% and made 19/22 free throws. The Penn State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.2 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 33% of their looks from outside this season.

Adrian Baldwin Jr (G) 14.3 2.5 6.0
Kanye Clary (G) 16.0 2.8 2.7
Qudus Wahab (F) 9.8 7.7 0.5

Michigan Team Defense

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Michigan is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 79.4 points per game (320th). On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. Penn State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.7%.

Penn State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Penn State defense is giving up an average of 74.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.8 threes per game vs. Michigan. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.7%.

Wolverines vs Nittany Lions Trends

  • Across the Wolverines last five road games, the team averaged 60 points per game while allowing 83. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-5, while going 0-5 straight-up.
  • Although Penn State has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-1-1. The team averaged 66 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
  • As the betting favorite, the Nittany Lions have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Penn State posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.

Wolverines vs Nittany Lions Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Nittany Lions vs. Nittany Lions game, our recommendation is to take the Nittany Lions at -6.5. Despite our model showing the Nittany Lions winning 75-70, we like Wolverines as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 150.5 and our model has the Wolverines and Nittany Lions finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.