Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn NCAAB Betting Prediction

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Prediction 3/16/2024

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-12) travel to face off against the Auburn Tigers (24-7) on Saturday, March 16th. This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers

The Mississippi State Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Mississippi State comes into this game with a record of 19-12, and they have won two games in a row. They are 10-9 in Southeastern Conference play compared to 9-3 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Bulldogs are 8-8 this season, and they have a scoring differential of +3.0 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 16-15-1 this season and is 8-8 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Bulldogs are 3-6 vs. the spread this year and 3-7 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Mississippi State’s over/under record for the season is 14-17-1, and today’s line of 143 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (141.2). So far, 18 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line, including two of their last three.

The Auburn Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Entering today’s game against Mississippi State, Auburn is 16-1 at home this season and has won its last three games at home. On the year, Auburn has gone 25-5 as the favorite.

Coming off a 31-point win over South Carolina, the Tigers have won four straight games and have a record of 24-7 this season. Auburn has gone 9-6 on the road this year compared to 14-5 in Southeastern Conference play.

At home this season, Auburn has an ATS record of 11-6. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers have gone 7-3 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, Auburn has an ATS mark of 2-1.

For the season, Auburn’s over/under record is 14-18, and today’s line of 143 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150.5). So far, 13 of their games have finished with less than 143 points. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 162 points.

Mississippi State Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Bulldogs’ offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 75 points per contest. Josh Hubbard is leading the team in scoring at 17.1 points per contest. Tolu Smith has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 15.5 going into the game.

Josh Hubbard (G) 17.1 2.2 1.7
Tolu Smith (F) 15.5 8.3 1.3
Cameron Matthews (F) 9.7 6.9 2.9

Auburn Offense Breakdown

The Tigers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 86 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 83.6 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Johni Broome, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.3, while Jaylin Williams also maintains a PPG average of 12.6 leading up to the game.

Johni Broome (F) 16.3 8.5 2.1
Jaylin Williams (F) 12.6 4.4 1.9
Chad Baker (G) 10.2 3.8 2.3

Mississippi State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Mississippi State defense is giving up an average of 68.9 points per contest. Mississippi State’s three-point defense is currently 128th in the country at 7.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.3% of their shots vs. Mississippi State.

Auburn Team Defense

So far, the Tigers’ defense is ranked 71st in the country at 68.1 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.0 threes per game vs. Mississippi State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.4%.

Bulldogs vs Tigers Trends

  • Mississippi State has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 72 points per game while allowing 67. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • The Tigers are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • The last three games that Mississippi State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Tigers have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Bulldogs vs Tigers Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Tigers vs. Bulldogs matchup, our bet is to grab the Bulldogs at +7.5. Even though our projections have the Tigers winning 75-70, we see the Bulldogs as the play on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 143, and our model predicts the Bulldogs and Tigers to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.