Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn NCAAB Betting Prediction

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Prediction 3/2/2024

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-9) travel to face off against the Auburn Tigers (21-7) on Saturday, March 2nd. This game will be played at Neville Arena in Auburn and televised on ESPN2. Both Mississippi State and Auburn will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:00 ET.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers

The Mississippi State Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Mississippi State enters this game as a 9.5-point underdog. They have gone 2-4 in games where they were the underdog this season. The Bulldogs are 19-9 overall and 8-7 in Southeastern Conference play.

On the road, Mississippi State has gone 6-6 this season, and they have won two straight games away from home. Over their last 10 road games, the Bulldogs have gone 5-5. In their most recent game, they lost to Kentucky by a score of 91-89.

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 14-13-1 this season. On the road, they are 6-6 vs. the spread. As the underdog, their ATS mark is 2-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs are 5-5 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 5-5 in their last 10.

This season, the over/under record for Mississippi State games is 13-14-1. So far, the average point total in their games is 143.8, which is lower than today’s over/under line of 145.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 162 points.

The Auburn Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing to Tennessee 92-84, Auburn’s record now stands at 21-7. The Tigers have gone 13-1 at home this season, and they are 9.4 points better per game on the road compared to at home.

Overall, Auburn has been favored in 26 of their 28 games, and they have gone 21-5 in those contests. In the Southeastern Conference, the Tigers have gone 10-5, and their record against non-conference opponents is 11-2.

When looking at Auburn’s ATS record this season, they are currently 17-11. At home, their ATS mark is 9-5, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

This season, Auburn games have an over/under record of 12-16 and today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150.8). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 159 points scored compared to their season average of 151 points per game.

Mississippi State Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 89 points vs. Kentucky. Overall, they hit 51.6% of their shots from the field and went 12/17 from the free-throw line. Leading Mississippi State in scoring vs. Kentucky was Josh Hubbard with his 34 points. Tolu Smith also added 21 points for the Bulldogs.

Josh Hubbard (G) 15.9 2.3 1.7
Tolu Smith (F) 17.1 8.2 1.2
Cameron Matthews (F) 9.5 6.9 2.9

Auburn Offense Breakdown

The Tigers’ offense wrapped up their last game with 84 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 82.8 points per contest. Johni Broome was the leading scorer for the Tigers, putting up 23 points. In addition, Chad Baker contributed 13 points.

Johni Broome (F) 16.3 8.6 2.0
Jaylin Williams (F) 12.9 4.6 2.0
Chad Baker (G) 10.2 3.7 2.3

Mississippi State Team Defense

Currently, the Bulldogs’ defense holds the 80th rank in the nation, allowing 68.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Mississippi State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 27.7% this season.

Auburn Team Defense

At this time, the Tigers’ defense is positioned 79th in the country, permitting 68.2 points per game. In their most recent game, the Auburn defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Tennessee knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 92 points.

Bulldogs vs Tigers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Mississippi State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 76 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last ten home games, Auburn has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 82 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bulldogs have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
  • As the betting favorite, the Tigers have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.

Bulldogs vs Tigers Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Tigers vs. Tigers game, we suggest taking the Tigers at -9.5. Even though our predictions have the Tigers winning 75-70, we see the Bulldogs as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 145.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.