Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/11/2024

The Los Angeles Dodgers (26-14) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (21-20) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dodgers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 8:40 ET.

Dodgers vs Padres

los angeles dodgers nba

San Diego picked up a 2-1 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense only had three hits in the game but still picked up a win thanks to a good outing from Michael King, who went seven innings and gave up just two hits and no earned runs.

Heading into the game, the Padres were at +155 on the money line. This was the first game of the series where the Dodgers were favored.

Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Dodgers could only muster one more run in the 8th inning. As for the Padres, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Los Angeles heads into today’s game vs. the Padres with a record of 26-14, which has them leading the NL West by 5.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers currently lead the division with an overall record of 7-5 in the division. They have won four straight division titles.

So far, the Dodgers have been really good on the road, going 11-6 compared to 15-8 at home. Los Angeles has been really good in night games this season, going 18-6. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 25-13 this year, and they are 1-1 as the underdog. Currently, the Dodgers have won five straight series, and their overall series record is 8-5 this year. Their most recent series win came vs. the Giants.

The Dodgers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 21-19 overall. They are 11-12 against the run line at home and 10-7 on the road. As the favorite, they are 20-18 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 1-1. Their average run margin for the season is +1.8 runs per game, and they have a +2.0 run differential on the road compared to +1.7 at home. In their wins, their average run margin is +4.1 runs per game, while in losses, it is -2.4 runs per game.

With an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game this season, the Los Angeles Dodgers have seen their games go over the 9-run total in just 22 of their 40 games. In their last two games, the Dodgers’ games have gone under the total, and their games have gone under the total in 29 of their 40 games this season.

James Paxton Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Left-hander James Paxton gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 3.06. Paxton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.55. In his 32 1/3 innings of work, he has issued 6.68 walks per nine innings compared to 5.01 strikeouts. Paxton’s most recent outing came on May 5th, where he picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. He has not given up more than one homer in a game this season.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been two of the league’s top power threats this season, as Ohtani’s 11 homers are 2nd in the league and Hernandez’s 10 is 3rd. Ohtani is also batting .359 for the season, while Hernandez comes in at .258. Over his last five games, Ohtani is 8/17 with three homers and four runs scored. Hernandez has also been hot, going 5/16 with three homers and six RBIs over the same stretch.

As a team, the Dodgers are the league’s best offense, leading the way in runs per game (5.4), batting average (.267), and on-base percentage. They also have the league’s 2nd best home run total and are the top on-base percentage team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 5.7 runs per game at home.

San Diego is 21-20 overall this season and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. The Padres are on a two-game winning streak, and they have gone 7-3 across their last ten games. So far, they are 11-9 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Padres are 9-12 this year and 12-8 on the road. San Diego has won three straight at home and have an overall series record of 7-4-2 this year. The Padres have won three straight series and two straight series on the road.

The Padres have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 23-18 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 16-4 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 7-14 against the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 12-5 against the run line in those games.

The Padres have played 40 games this season, and 35 of them have had over/under lines set at less than 9 runs. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 21-19. Their last three games have gone under the total, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.

Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres

San Diego is sending Matt Waldron to the mound today vs. the Dodgers, and he will be looking to rebound from his last outing, where he gave up seven earned runs in three innings of work. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he gave up three homers. Looking back over his last four outings, Waldron has given up at least one homer in each of those starts. Waldron’s record for the season is 1-4, and his ERA is 5.82. Opponents are batting .274 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has made one quality start and is averaging 7.68 strikeouts per nine innings.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Padres are also near the top of the league in batting average, hitting a collective .257.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been swinging the bat well for the Padres of late, with both players hitting two homers over their last nine games. Profar has gone 13/33 in that stretch, while Cronenworth is 13/37. Profar is also 7th in the league in RBIs, and the Padres’ top run producer so far this season.

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction

We see a lot of value in taking the Padres on the money line at +122. With this payout, you could also look to take the Padres on the run line, as we have them winning by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have James Paxton finishing with five strikeouts, which is the same as Matt Waldron. However, we have Waldron finishing with a better line, and if you’re looking for a player prop, you could look to take Waldron’s strikeout total.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.